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AMPİRİK BAĞLAMDA TOPLAM VE ALT KALEMLER BAZINDA KAMU HARCAMALARI VE KAMU GELİRLERİ ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ

Empirical Relationship between Government Expenditure and Government Revenue Based on Aggregated and Disaggregated Data: Case of Turkey

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Abstract (2. Language): 
The relationship between government revenue and government expenditure is important for countries which are suffering from persistent budget deficit. In this study, we investigate evidence for cointegration and causality relationship between government revenue and government expenditure for Turkey based on aggregated and disaggregated data at the period of 1995-2003. The results show that long run relationship exists between aggregated government revenue and government expenditure, disaggregated nontax normal revenue and transfer expenditure. Granger causality test indicate evidence the spend-tax hypothesis for both aggregated and four disaggregated data.
Abstract (Original Language): 
Sürekli bütçe açığı sorunu yaşayan ülkeler açısından kamu gelirleri ile kamu harcamaları arasındaki ilişki önem arz etmektedir. Bu çalışmada Türkiye için 1995-2003 döneminde kamu geliri ile kamu harcamaları arasındaki eşbütünleşme ve nedensellik ilişkileri hem toplam hem de alt kalemler itibariyle incelenmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlar toplam harcama ile toplam gelir arasında, alt kalemler itibariyle ise vergi dışı normal gelir ile transfer harcamaları arasında uzun dönem ilişki olduğunu ortaya koymuştur. Granger nedensellik testi harcama-vergi hipotezinin hem toplam hem de dört alt kalem itibariyle geçerli olduğunu göstermiştir.
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