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KENTSEL SU SUNUMUNDA BiR YONETIM ARACI OLARAK SU TALEP TAHMiNi

WATER DEMAND FORECAST AS A TOOL OF MANAGEMENT IN THE URBAN WATER SERVICES

Journal Name:

  • Niğde Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi

Publication Year:

  • 2015

Key Words:

Keywords (Original Language):

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Abstract (2. Language): 
Water demand can be defined as, the amount of water, needed by domestic, commercial, official institutions and industrial consumers. There are various factors such as population, employment situation, economic cycles, technology, weather conditions, water price and water saving programs which have important effects on the water demand. Local population growth, global warming change in the urban green spaces, industrial growth and improving living standards are increasingly becoming important in the growth of these effects. Besides, water usage behaviours of consumers have a great importance on the water demand. Nowadays, water scarcity has become a major problem for many countries. Therefore, it is necessary to review water policies and habits for an efficient water management. This also has brought into agenda a better planning and design and more efficient operation and management of the water systems. Hence, the accurate water demand forecasting is the key factor. Water demand forecasting is generally planning as short, medium and long term. Forecasting time intervals vary according to aims of usage, types of forecasting models and varying reliability levels.
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Abstract (Original Language): 
Su talebi, evsel, ticari, resmi kurum ve endustriyel tuketim gruplarinin ihtiyag duydugu su miktari olarak tanimlanabilir. Su talebi uzerinde; nufus, istihdam, ekonomik donguler, teknoloji, hava ko§ullari, fiyat ve koruma programlari gibi ge§itli faktorler onemli etkilere sahiptirler. Bu etkilerin artmasinda yerel nufus arti§i, kuresel isinma, kentsel ye§il alan miktarindaki degi§im, endustriyel buyume ve ya§am standartlarindaki ilerleme gibi ge§itli faktorler giderek onem kazanmaktadir. Bununla birlikte, su talebi uzerinde tuketicilerin su kullanim davrani§lan oldukga buyuk oneme sahiptir. Gunumuzde birgok ulke igin su azligi (kitligi), temel bir problem haline gelmi§tir. Bu nedenle, su yonetiminde verimlilik saglamak igin su politikalari ve ali§kanliklann gozden gegirilmesi gerekmektedir. Bu durum ayrica, su sistemlerinin daha iyi planlanmasini ve tasarimini, daha etkin i§letimini ve yonetimini gundeme getirmi§tir. Bunun iginde dogru su talep tahmini anahtar konumdadir. Su talep tahmini genellikle kisa, orta ve uzun donem §eklinde planlanir. Tahmin donemleri kullanim amaglarina, tahmin modeli tiplerine ve farkli guvenilirlik seviyelerine gore degi§iklik gostermektedir.
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  • 3
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  • Turkish

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REFERENCES

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