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Gelişmekte Olan Piyasa Ekonomilerinde İhracatın Dinamikleri

Export Dynamics in Emerging Market Economies

Journal Name:

  • Celal Bayar Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi

Publication Year:

  • 2012

Key Words:

Keywords (Original Language):

Author NameUniversity of AuthorFaculty of Author
Abstract (2. Language): 
This study analyses the determinants of export by using balanced panel data method for the 9 emerging market economies with quarterly data covering the period 1994:1-2009:1. In basic macroeconomic theory, export is dependence of real exchange rate and gross domestic product directly and they effect on export positively. And it is implied that export is independence of gross domestic product (national, inside). Also indirectly an increases in domestic prices is caused to decrease real exchange rate. Because of that an increase inflation effects on export negatively. Additionally the theory, it is obvious that import is an important factor for export in global integrated economies. In this study we tested this macroeconomic theory. Empirical results show that real exchange rate, gross domestic product, import and inflation rate are significant variables for export.
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Abstract (Original Language): 
Bu çalışmada, 1994:1-2009:1 arası çeyreklik veriler kullanılarak gelişmekte olan piyasa ekonomilerinde ihracatın belirleyicileri dengeli panel veri yöntemi ile analiz edilmektedir. Temel makroekonomik teoride, ihracat ile reel döviz kuru ve yurtiçi gelir arasında doğrusal ve pozitif bir ilişki bulunmaktadır. Buradan hareketle ihracatın yurtiçi gelirden bağımsız olduğu da anlaşılmaktadır. Aynı zamanda yerel fiyatlarda bir artış reel döviz kurunda düşüşe neden olmaktadır. Bu nedenle enflasyon artışı ihracatı negatif etkilemektedir. Teoriye ilaveten, ithalatın uluslar arası entegre ekonomilerde ihracat için önemli bir faktör olduğu açıkça görülmektedir. Bu çalışmada makroekonomik teori test edilmektedir. Ampirik sonuçlar reel döviz kuru, yurtiçi gelir, ithalat ve enflasyon oranının ihracat için önemli değişkenler olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır.
FULL TEXT (PDF): 
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  • Turkish

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REFERENCES

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