You are here

SUÇUN SOSYOEKONOMİK BELİRLEYİCİLERİ: KAYSERİ ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA

THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF CRIME: A PANEL DATA ANALYSIS

Journal Name:

Publication Year:

Abstract (2. Language): 
In literature, there is no study that analyzing crime in the case of Kayseri. In this study the factors may affect number of crime in Kayseri is empirically investigated in the context of models of crime economics. The aim of this study is to make suggestions about policy against crime. With this aim firstly theoretical and empirical works related with the determinants of crime is examined. In the section of empirical analysis, for the term 2002-2008, the relationship between city center crime numbers in 11 crime types and socio-economic variables of suspects, has been analyzed through panel data regression model. As a result, it has determined that unemployment and population effect crime positively; the crime numbers are negatively related with the income and the police numbers. Furthermore the number of crime increases as the number of high school graduates increases.
Abstract (Original Language): 
Literatürde Kayseri ili örneğinde suç analizi yapan çalışma yoktur. Bu çalışmada suçun ekonomik modelleri çerçevesinde, Kayseri ilinde suç sayılarını etkileyecek faktörler ampirik olarak incelenmiştir. Çalışmanın amacı suçla mücadelede etkili olabilecek politika önerilerinde bulunmaktır. Bu amaçla ilk olarak suçun ekonomik modelleri ve ampirik literatürden kanıtlara yer verilmiştir. Uygulama kısmında, şehir merkezinde 2002-2008 döneminde 11 suç başlığında meydana gelen olay sayıları ile şüpheli bireylerin sosyo-ekonomik durumları arasındaki ilişki panel regresyon modeli ile analiz edilmiştir. Sonuç olarak, suçu işsizliğin ve nüfusun pozitif etkilediği, gelir ve polis sayıları ile suçun negatif ilişkili olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Ayrıca lise mezunlarının sayısının artması, suçu artırır sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.
15-31

REFERENCES

References: 

AYTAÇ, Mustafa; Serpil AYTAÇ ve Nuran BAYRAM; (2007), “Suç Türlerini
Etkileyen Faktörlerin İstatistiksel Analizi”, 8. Türkiye Ekonometri
ve İstatistik Kongresi, İnönü Üniversitesi, Malatya, 24-25 Mayıs,
ss.1-7.
BECKER, Gary; (1968), “Crime and Punishment, An Economic Approach”,
National Bureau of Economic Research, ss.169-217.
BUONANNO, Paolo; (2003), “The Socioeconomics Determinant of Crime. A
Review of the Literature”, Working Paper Series- Dipartimento di
Economia Politica-Universita delgi Studi Milano Bicocca, 63, ss.1-
35.
BUONANNO, Paolo ve Leone LEONIDA; (2006), “Education and Crime:
Evidence from Italian Regions”, Applied Economic Letters, 13,
ss.709-713.
BUONANNO, Paolo ve Daniel MONTOLIO; (2008), “Identifying the Socio-
Economic and Demographic Determinants of Crime Across Spanish
Provinces”, International Review of Law and Economics, 28(2),
ss.89-97.
CARMICHAEL, Fiona ve Robert WARD; (2001), “Male Unemployment and
Crime in England and Wales”, Economics Letters, 73, ss.111-115.
CASE, Anne C. ve Lawrence F. KATZ; (1991), “The Company You Keep the
Effects of Family and Neighborhood on Disadvantaged Youth”
NBER Working Paper, 3705, ss.1-25.
CERRO, Ana ve Osvaldo M. MELONI; (2000), “Determinants of the Crime
Rate in Argentina During the 90’s”, Estudios de Economia, 27,
ss.297-311.
CHIRICOS, Theodore G.; (1987), “Rates of Crime and Unemployment; An
Analysis of Aggregate Research Evidence”, Social Problems, 34,
ss.187-212.
CÖMERTLER, Necmiye ve Muhsin KAR; (2007), “Türkiye’de Suç Oranının
Sosyo-ekonomik Belirleyicileri; Yatay Kesit Analizi”, Ankara Üniversitesi,
Siyasal Bilgiler Fakültesi Dergisi, 62(2), ss.37-57.
ÇUBUKÇU, Mert ve İrem AYHAN; (2007), “Suç ve Kent İlişkisine Ampirik
Bakış; Literatür Taraması”, Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi Sosyal
Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 3(5), ss.1-37.
DURSUN, Hasan; (1997), Suçun Ekonomik Modelleri, DPT Yayınları, Ankara,
48s.DURUSOY, Serap; Seyit KÖSE ve Oğuz KARADENİZ; (2008), “Başlıca
Sosyo Ekonomik Sorunlar Suçun Belirleyicisi Olabilir mi? Türkiye’de
Deliller Arası Bir Analiz”, Elektronik Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi,
7(23), ss.172-203.
EHRLICH, Isaac; (1973), “Participation in Illegitimate Activities; A
Theoretical and Emprical Investigation”, Journal of Political
Economy, 81, ss.521-565.
EIDE, Erling; (1999), “Economics of Criminal Behavior”, Faculty of Law,
University of Oslo, 8100, ss.345-389.
FLEISHER, Belton M.; (1963), “The Effect of Unemployment on Juvenile
Delinquency” Journal of Political Economy, 71(6), ss.543-555.
FLEISHER, Belton M.; (1966), “The Effects of Income on Delinquency”,
American Economic Review, 56, pp.118-137.
FREEMAN, Richard B.; (1994), “Crime and The Job Market”, NBER
Working Paper Series, 4910.
GLAESER, Edwards L.; Bruce SACERDOTE ve Jose A. SCHEINKMAN;
(1996), “Crime and Social Interactions”, The Quarterly Journal of
Economics, 111(2), ss.507-548.
GROGGER, Jeffrey; (1998), “Market Wages and Youth Crime”, Journal of
Labor Economics, 16(4), ss.756-791.
GÜVEL, Enver Alper; (2004), Suç ve Ceza Ekonomisi, Roma Yayınları, Ankara,
194s.
HIRSCHEY, Mark ve James L. PAPPAS; (1993), Managerial Economics,
Seventh Edition, Harcourt Brace and 13 Company, International
Edition, 823s.
HOJMAN, David E.; (2002), “Explaining Crime in Buenos Aires: The Roles of
Inequality, Unemployment and Structural Change”, Bulletin of Latin
American Research, 21(1), ss.121-128.
IMROHOROĞLU, Ayşe; Antonio MERLO ve Peter RUPERT; (2000), “On the
Political Economy of Income Redistribution and Crime”,
International Economic Review, 41(1), ss.1- 25.
IMROHOROĞLU, Ayşe; Antonio MERLO ve Peter RUPERT; (2001), “What
Accounts for the Decline in Crime?”, USC Finance and Business
Econ. Working Paper; 1-15, ss.1-31.
KAHNEMAN, Daniel ve Amos TVERSKY; (1979), “Prospect Theory: An
Analysis of Decision Under Risk”, Econometrica, 47 (2), ss.263-292.
KELLY, Morgan; (2000), “Inequality and Crime”, The Review of Economics
and Statistics, 82, ss.530-539.LOCHNER, Lance; (1999), “Education, Work and Crime, Theory and
Evidence”, Center for Economic Research Working Paper, 465,
ss.1-52.
LOCHNER, Lance; (2004), “Education, Work and Crime. A Human Capital
Approach”, International Economic Review, 45, ss.811-843.
LOCHNER, Lance ve Enrico MORETTI; (2004), “The Effect of Education on
Crime: Evidence from Prison Inmates, Arrests and Self-Report”,
American Economic Review, 94(1), ss.155-189.
PAPPS, Kerry ve Rainer WINKELMAN; (1998), “Unemployment and Crime:
New Answer to an Old Question”, IZA Discussion Paper, 25, ss.1-
25.
PAZARLIOĞLU, Vedat ve Timur TURGUTLU; (2007), “Gelir, İşsizlik ve
Suç: Türkiye Üzerine Bir İnceleme”, Finans Politik&Ekonomik Yorumlar,
44(513), ss.63-70.
RAPHAEL, Steven ve Ebmer R. WINTER; (2001), “Identifying the Effect of
Unemployment on Crime”, Journal of Law and Economics, 44(1),
ss.259-283.
USHER, Dan; (1997), “Education as Deterrent to Crime”, Canadian Journal
of Economics, 30(2), ss.367-384.
YAMAK, Nebiye ve Ferhat TOPBAŞ; (2005), “Suç ve İşsizlik Arasındaki Nedensellik
İlişkisi”, 14. İstatistik Araştırma Sempozyumu, Ankara,
ss.705-715.
WITTE, Ann D. ve Helen Tauchen; (1994), “Work and Crime; An Exploration
Using Panel Data”, Public Finance, 49, ss.55-167.
WITTE, Ann D. ve Robert WITT; (2000), “Crime Causation; Economic
Theories”, Wellesley College and NBER Survey, pp.1-17.
WITT, Robert; Alan CLARKE ve Nigel FIELDING; (1998), “Crime, Earnings
Inequality and Unemployment in England and Wales”, Applied
Economics Letters, 5(4), ss.265-276.

Thank you for copying data from http://www.arastirmax.com