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Yapısal Şokların Emek Piyasası Üzerindeki Etkileri: Türkiye İçin Beveridge Eğrisi Tahmini

The Effects of The Structural Shocks on The Labor Market: Beveridge Curve Estimation for Turkey

Journal Name:

  • International Journal of Academic Value Studies

Publication Year:

  • 2015
DOI: 
http://dx.doi.org/10.23929/javs.30

Key Words:

Keywords (Original Language):

Author NameUniversity of AuthorFaculty of Author
Abstract (2. Language): 
In this paper, the factors hindering the matching fit between vacancy and unemployment rates in labour market and dynamics of jobless growth employment have been aimed to reveal in the scope of Beveridge Curve. For this purpose, existence of long term asymmetrical relationship between vacancy and unemployment rates has been tested for Turkish Economy at the period of 2005-2015. In order to test long term asymetric relationship, Enders and Granger (1998) non-linear threshold unit root test and asymmetric cointegration analysis developed by Enders and Siklos (2001) and based on TAR-MTAR models have been used. According to TAR and M-TAR models, the emprical findings show that there is not the presence of long term asymmetric relationship between two variables. This final empirical evidence has supported the common view which is toward not to decrease unemployment rates despite economic growth due to increasing female labour participation rates and increasing use of capital-intensive technology with technology transfer in recent years in Turkish economy.
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Abstract (Original Language): 
Bu çalışmada, emek piyasasında açık iş ve işsizlik oranları arasındaki eşleşme uyumunu engelleyen faktörlerin ve istihdam yaratmayan ekonomik büyümenin dinamiklerinin Beveridge eğrisi kapsamında ortaya konulması amaçlanmıştır. Bu amaçla açık iş oranları ve işsizlik oranları arasındaki olası uzun dönemli asimetrik ilişkinin varlığı 2005-2015 dönemi Türkiye ekonomisi için sınanmıştır. Olası uzun dönem asimetrik ilişkinin sınanması amacıyla Enders ve Granger (1998) doğrusal olmayan eşik birim kök testi ve Enders ve Siklos (2001) tarafından geliştirilen ve TAR ve M-TAR modellerine dayanan asimetrik koentegrasyon analizi kullanılmıştır. Elde edilen ampirik bulgular, TAR ve M-TAR modeline göre söz konusu iki değişken arasında uzun dönemli asimetrik bir ilişkinin bulunmadığı yönündedir. Bu nihai ampirik bulgu, Türkiye ekonomisinde son yıllarda artan kadın işgücüne katılım oranları ve teknoloji transferiyle artan sermaye-yoğun teknoloji kullanımı nedeniyle, ekonomik büyümeye rağmen işsizlik oranlarının azalmadığı yönündeki hakim görüşü destekler niteliktedir.
FULL TEXT (PDF): 
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  • Turkish

JEL Codes:

REFERENCES

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