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İKTİSATTA BEKLENTİLER VE BEKLENTİLERİN MODELLENMESİ

Journal Name:

  • İstanbul Üniversitesi İktisat Fakültesi Mecmuası

Publication Year:

  • 2009

Key Words:

Keywords (Original Language):

Author NameUniversity of AuthorFaculty of Author
Abstract (2. Language): 
Expectations play a key role in economic agents' decision process. Rational Expectations Hypothesis is generally utilized to model expectations in economics literature. However the assumptions of Rational Expectations Hypothesis aren 7 compatible with realities. Hence, in recent years new approches have been developed to model expectations. These approaches which are called Learning Models focus on expectations formation process. In this study it is tried to explain expectation concept and the models which are about expectations İn economics.
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Abstract (Original Language): 
Beklentiler iktisadi birimlerin karar alma sürecinde önemli bir rol oynamaktadır. İktisat literatüründe beklentilerin modellenmesinde genel olarak Rasyonel Beklentiler Hipotezi 'nden yararlanılmaktadır. Ancak Rasyonel Beklentiler Hipotezi 'nin varsayımları gerçeklerle bağdaşmamaktadır. Bu nedenle son yıllarda beklentilerin modellenmesine yönelik olarak yeni yaklaşımlar geliştirilmiştir. Öğrenme Modelleri olarak adlandırılan söz konusu yaklaşımlar, beklentilerin oluşum surecine odaklanmaktadırlar. Bu çalışmada iktisatta beklenti kavramı ve beklentilere ilişkin modeller açıklanmaya çalışılmaktadır.
FULL TEXT (PDF): 
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  • 1
135-168
  • Turkish

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