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FINANSAL KRIZLER IÇIN ERKEN UYARI SISTEMLERI

Early Warning Systems For Financial Crises

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Abstract (2. Language): 
A good number of theoretical and empirical studies have been carried out in order to find "early warning signs" for financial crises. According to the results of these studies, there have been a lot of common characteristics of the crises mentioned and it is possible to foresee these crises, to some extent, in the framework of models realized. Yet, the reliability of these models still depends on the fact that they are to be tested in more advanced level and new variables are to be added.
Abstract (Original Language): 
Finansal krizler iç in “erken uyari isaretleri” bulmak amacina dönük olarak çok sayida teorik ve ampirik çalisma yapilmistir. Bu çalismalarin sonuçlarina göre söz konusu krizlerin birçok ortak karakteristigi vardir ve olusturulan modeller çerçevesinde bu krizlerin öngörülmes i bir dereceye kadar olanaklidir. Ancak bu modellerin güvenilirligi hala daha ileri düzeyde test edilmelerine ve yeni degiskenlerin eklenmes ine baglidir.
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