You are here

Home ยป Content

The deceleration of aircraft in overrun accidents from the point of first impact to the end of the wreckage path

Journal Name:

  • Journal of Airline and Airport Management

Publication Year:

  • 2015
DOI: 
http://dx.doi.org/10.3926/jairm.30

Key Words:

Author NameUniversity of Author
Abstract (2. Language): 
Purpose: This paper outlines previous attempts to model aircraft deceleration and using a newer database containing a greater number of observations tries to refine the model. Design/methodology: It is noted that data inadequacies still necessitate the estimation of a given acceleration for the aircraft wreckage path, but that there are more opportunities to change the intercept in a regression model to reflect categorical and dummy variables that proxy factors such as runway condition, the degree of control exercised by the pilot during the crash, the speed at the point of first impact (hereafter POFI), headwind, rain, characteristics of the terrain on the wreckage path and aborted take-offs. Findings: The contribution of some of the explanatory variables can be seen. It is a shame other potential influences are not found to be significant. It is important to understand deceleration so that the wreckage location of aircraft accidents can be understood. This then gives guidance of appropriate runway safety areas. Originality/value: This is the first time this has been attempted on the expanded accident database.
Bookmark/Search this post with
FULL TEXT (PDF): 
PDF icon 30-324-1-pb.pdf
  • 1
67
80
  • English

REFERENCES

References: 

Ayres Jr., M., Shirazi H., Carvalho, R., Hall, J., Speir, R., Arumbula E. et al. (2013). Modelling
the Location and Consequences of Aircraft Accidents. Journal of Safety Science, 51, 178-186.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2012.05.012
De Groh, B. (2006). Rink or Runway?. Air Line Pilot, November/December, 14-19. Air Line Pilot
Association, Washington, D.C., USA.
Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). (2006). Landing performance assessments at time of
arrival (turbojets). Safety Alert For Operators. Flight Standards Service, 8/31/06, Federal
Aviation Administration, Washington D.C., USA.
Jerris, E., Gerafola, J., Dagen, H. & Brady, F. (1963). Analysis of safety aspects of aircraft
landing operations. Final report 238-01-3-392. ARINC Research Corporation, Annapolis, MD.
Kirkland, I.D.L. (2001). The Risk Assessment of Aircraft Overrun Accidents and Incidents.
Unpublished doctoral disertation (Ph.D.), Loughborough University.
Kirkland, I., Caves, R.E., Hirst, M. & Pitfield, D.E. (2003). The Normalisation of Aircraft Overrun
Accident Data. Journal of Air Transport Management, 9, 333-341. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0969-
6997(03)00033-4
Kirkland, I., Caves, R.E., Humphreys, I.M. & Pitfield, D.E. (2004). An Improved Methodology
for Assessing Risk in Aircraft Operations at Airports, applied to runway overruns. Journal of
Safety Science, 42, 891-905. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2004.04.002
Kimura, C.Y., Glaser, R.E., Kvam, P., Mensing, R.W., Lin, T., Haley, T.A. et al. (1996). Data
Development technical support document for the aircraft risk analysis methodology (ACRAM)
standard. Report UCRL-ID-124837, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. Livermore, CA,
USA.
Transportation Research Board (TRB). (2008). Analysis of Aircraft Overruns and Undershoots
for Runway Safety Areas. Airport Co-operative Research Program Report 3. TRB, Washington
D.C., USA.Winn, R. (2006). Probing the causes of aircraft accidents. Aerospace America. September.
American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Reston, VA, USA.
Wong, K.Y. (2007). The Modelling of Accident Frequency Using Risk Exposure Data for the
Assessment of Airport Safety Areas (Ph.D.). Unpublished doctoral disertation, Loughborough
University.
Wong, D.Y., Pitfield, D.E., Caves, R.E. & Appleyard, A.J. (2006). Quantifying and characterising
aviation accident risk factors. Journal of Air Transport Management, 12, 352-357.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2006.09.002
Wong, D.Y., Pitfield, D.E., Caves, R.E. & Appleyard, A.J. (2009a). The Development of a more
Risk Sensitive and Flexible Airport Safety Area Strategy. Part 1. The development of an
improved accident frequency model. Journal of Safety Science, 47, 903-912.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2008.09.010
Wong, D.Y., Pitfield, D.E., Caves, R.E. & Appleyard, A.J. (2009b). The Development of a more
Risk Sensitive and Flexible Airport Safety Area Strategy. Part II. Accident location analysis
and airport risk assessment case studies. Journal of Safety Science, 47, 913-924.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2008.09.011

Thank you for copying data from http://www.arastirmax.com