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RIVALRIES, TRADITION, AND RECESSION PROOF COLLEGIATE FOOTBALL ATTENDANCE IN EL PASO

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Abstract (2. Language): 
Este estudio analiza determinantes posibles de la asistencia a juegos de futbol americano para los Mineros de la Universidad de Texas en El Paso (UTEP). Datos de series de tiempo se utilizan para analizar la asistencia a los juegos de UTEP durante las temporadas entre 1967 y 2014. La estimación de parámetros se lleva a cabo mediante mínimos cuadrados de dos etapas. Entre los resultados más notables, ventas de entradas no se afectan de manera notable por fluctuaciones económicas locales y no son correlacionadas de manera inversa con la tasa de desempleo local. La demanda para las entradas muestran una tendencia positiva con relación al precio. Pronósticos generados para los juegos de la temporada del 2015, y diagnósticos empíricos para ellos, indican que el comportamiento de simulación dinámica de la ecuación es bastante precisa. Replicación de este análisis para equipos en “ciudades universitarias tradicionales” ofrece una oportunidad interesante para estudios futuros.
Abstract (Original Language): 
This study examines potential determinants of American football game attendance for the University of Texas at El Paso (UTEP) Miners program. Time series data are utilized to analyze UTEP attendance from 1967 to 2014. Parameter estimation is carried out using two-staged least squares regression analysis. Among the more notable outcomes, ticket sales are not strongly affected by the local business cycle and are not inversely correlated with unemployment. Demand for tickets is also found to be upward sloping. Forecasts are generated for the 2015 season and several quantitative metrics indicate that good out-of-sample simulation performance is attained. Replication of this study for football teams in more traditional “college towns” provides an intriguing opportunity for further research.
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