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ANALYZING MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL PLAYER’S PERFORMANCE BASED ON AGE AND EXPERIENCE

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Abstract (2. Language): 
Este estudio modela el rendimiento del jugador en función de su edad, experiencia y talento. El panel desequilibrado incluye 5.754 temporadas repartidas entre 562 bateadores y 4.767 temporadas repartidas entre 489 lanzadores. La edad pico para los bateadores y lanzadores es 26,6 años y 24,5 años, respectivamente, manteniendo constante la experiencia. Con una mayor experiencia, el pico de los bateadores está cerca de los 29 años, mientras que el pico de los lanzadores esta cerca de los 28 años. Además, los bateadores encuentran mayores fluctuaciones en el rendimiento en sus carreras que los lanzadores. Este modelo está diseñado para ser utilizado por equipos de MLB para predecir el rendimiento futuro basado en los primeros seis años de estadísticas de un jugador.
Abstract (Original Language): 
This study models player performance as a function of age, experience, and talent. The unbalanced panel includes 5,754 seasons spread among 562 batters and 4,767 seasons spread among 489 pitchers. Peak physical age for hitters and pitchers are 26.6 years and 24.5 years, respectively, when holding experience constant. With increased experience, batters peak near age 29, while pitchers peak near age 28. Also, batters encounter greater fluctuations in performance over their careers than pitchers. This model is designed for use by MLB teams to predict future performance based on a player’s first six years of statistics.
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