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Belirsizliğin Özel Tüketim Harcamaları Üzerindeki Etkisi: Türkiye Örneği

The Effects of Uncertainty on Private Consumption: Turkey Example

Journal Name:

  • Kocaeli Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi

Publication Year:

  • 2010

Key Words:

Keywords (Original Language):

Author NameUniversity of AuthorFaculty of Author
Abstract (2. Language): 
Since private consumption is the largest component of GDP, it has a crucial role in economic system. Therefore, the fluctuations in consumption increase the rate of unemployment rate and inflation. On the other hand, some surveys sug¬gest that households increase their precautionary savings, which leads to a de¬crease in consumption, under uncertainty. At this point, there occurs bilateral cau¬sality between uncertainty and consumption.
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Abstract (Original Language): 
Tüketim harcamaları GSYH'nin en büyük bileşeni olduğu için ekonomik sistem için hayati önem taşımaktadır. Tüketim harcamalarında ortaya çıkan dalgalanmalar GSYH, istihdam ve enflasyon belirsizliğini artırmaktadır. Diğer yandan, yapılan çeşitli araştırmalar belirsizlik ortamında tüketicilerin tüketim harcamalarını azaltarak tedbiri tasarruflarını artırdıklarını ortaya koymaktadır. Bu noktada belirsizlik ve tüketim harcamaları arasında çift yönlü bir nedensellik ortaya çıkmaktadır. Çal ış-manın amacı, belirsizlik ve tüketim harcamaları arasındaki ilişkiyi irdelemek ve bu konuya ilişkin politika önerileri geliştirmektir.
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  • Turkish

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