You are here

Güvenilir Bir Para Politikası Stratejisinin Kurumsal Çerçevesi

Institutional Framework of a Credible Monetary Policy Strategy

Journal Name:

Publication Year:

Author NameUniversity of Author
Abstract (2. Language): 
Modern studies in the field of monetary policy focus on the analysis of sequential or political nature of policy-making process. According to the findings of these studies, credibility is an indispensible component of effective monetary policy strategy. The policy proposal set forth in this framework is to make the institutional designs that will solve the credibility problem resulting from inflationary incentives of politicians and/or policy-makers. The designs under consideration can be gathered un¬der four main categories: Central bank independence, rules vs. Discretion, transpar¬ency and accountability and fiscal discipline. The evaluations related to these designs which are determining the credibility and/or effectiveness of monetary policy consti¬tute the subject of our study. In this manner, we can attain a criterion that can be use for comparing the alternative monetary policy strategies. In this context, our study aims at determining the criterion mentioned.
Abstract (Original Language): 
Para politikası alanındaki modern çalışmalar, politika yapma sürecinin ardışık veya siyasal doğasının analizi üzerinde odaklanmaktadır. Bu çalışmaların bulgu¬larına göre, güvenilirlik etkili bir para politikası stratejisinin vazgeçilmez bir bile¬şenidir. Bu çerçevede geliştirilen politika önerisi ise, politikacılar ve/veya politika yapıcıların enflasyonist güdülerinden kaynaklanan güvenilirlik problemini çözümle¬yecek olan kurumsal düzenlemelerin yapılmasıdır. Söz konusu düzenlemeler dört ana başlık altında toplanabilir: Merkez bankasının bağısızlığı, takdir yetkisine kar¬şı kurallar, şeffaflık ve hesap verme ve mali disiplin. Çalışmamızın konusunu, para politikasının güvenilirliğini ve/veya etkililiğini belirleyen bu düzenlemelere ilişkin değerlendirmeler oluşturmaktadır. Böylece, alternatif para politikası stratejileri¬ni karşılaştırmada kullanılabilecek olan bir ölçüte ulaşabiliriz. Bu bağlamda, çalış¬mamız söz konusu ölçütün belirlenmesini amaçlamaktadır.
1
21

REFERENCES

References: 

Alesina, Alberto et al. (1999). "Budget Institutions and Fiscal Performance in Latin America" Journal of Development Economics. Vol. 59, ss. 253-273.
18
Tahi
r Büyükakın
Alesina, Alberto and Roberta Gatti (1995). "Independent Central Banks: Low Inflation at No Cost?" American Economic Review. Vol. 85, No. 2, ss. 196-200.
Alesina, Alberto and Lawrence H. Summers (1993). "Central Bank Independence and Macroeconomic Performance: Some Comperative Evidence" Journal of Money Credit
and Banking. Vol. 25, No. 2, ss. 151-162.
Alesina, Alberto, Gerald D. Cohen and Nouriel Roubini (1992). "Macroeconomic Policy and Elections in OECD Democracies" (in) Political Economy, Growth, and Business Cycles. Ed by Alex Cukierman, Zvi Hercowitz, and Leonardo Leiderman, London, MIT Press, ss.
227-262.
Alexius, Annika (1999). "Inflation Rules with Consistent Escape Clauses" European
Economic Review. No. 43, ss. 509-523. Almeida, Alvaro and Charles A. E. Goodhart (1998). "Does the Adoption of Inflation
Targets Affect Central Bank Behaviour?" (in) Monetary Policy and Inflation in Spain.
Ed. by Jose Luis Malo de Molina, Kose Vinals and Fernando Gutierrez, England,
Macmillan Press Ltd., ss. 56-117. Ball, Laurence (1997). "Efficient Rules for Monetary Policy" Federal Reserve Bank of New
Zealand Working Papers. G97/3, ss. 1-22. Barro, Robert J. and David B. Gordon (1983). "A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a
Natural Rate Model" Journal of Political Economy. Vol. 91, No. 4, ss. 589-610. Beck, Nathaniel (1982). "Presidential Influence on The Federal Reserve in the 1970s"
American Journal of Political Science. Vol. 26, No. 3, ss. 415-445. Berg, Claes (1996). "Monetary Policy Strategies for the European Central Bank and their
Implementation" Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series. No. 31, ss. 1-16. Bernanke, Ben S. et al. (1999). Inflation Targeting, Lessons from the International
Experience. New Jersey, Princeton University Press. Bernanke, Ben S. and Frederic S. Mishkin (1997). "Inflation Targeting: A New Framework
for Monetary Policy?" Journal of Economic Perspectives. Vol. 11, No. 2, ss. 97-116. Blinder, Alan S. (1999). "Central Bank Credibility: Why Do We Care? How Do We Build It?"
NBER Working Papers. No: 7161, ss. 1-23.
Britton, Andrew and David Mayes (1992). Achieving Monetary Union in Europe. London, SAGE Publications Ltd.
Calvo, Guillermo A. (1995). "Servicing the Public Debt: The Role of Expectations" (in)
Monetary and Fiscal Policy (Volume 1: Credibility), Ed. by Torsten Persson and Guido
Tabellini, 2nd Ed., London, The MIT Press, ss. 451-472. Cecchetti, Stephen G. (1997). "Central Bank Policy Rules: Conceptual Issues and Practical
Considerations" NBER Working Paper Series. No. 6306, ss. 1-19. Chang, Roberto (1998). "Policy Credibility and the Design of Central Banks," Federal
Reserve Bank of Atlanta Economic Review. Vol. 83, No. 1, ss. 4-15. Cukierman, Alex (1998). Central Bank Strategy, Credibility, and Independence: Theory
Güvenilir
Bi
r Para Politikası Stratejisinin Kurumsal Çerçevesi 19
and Evidence. 4th Ed., London: The MIT Press. Cukierman, Alex, Steven B. Webb, and Bilin Neyaptı (1992). "Measuring the Independence of Central Banks and Its Effect on Policy Outcomes" The World Bank Economic
Review. Vol. 6. No. 3, ss. 353-398.
Dittmar, Robert, William T. Gavin and Finn E. Kydland (1999). "Price-Level Uncertainty and Inflation Targeting" Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review. Vol. 81, No. 4, ss. 23-33.
Eijffinger, Sylvester, Maarten Van Rooij and Eric Schaling (1996). "Central Bank Independence: A Paneldata Approach" Public Choice. Vol. 89, No. 1-2, ss. 163-181.
Eijffinger, Sylvester and Eric Schaling (1993). "Central Bank Independence in Twelve Industrial Countries" BNL Quarterly Review. No. 184, ss. 49-89.
Fischer, Stanley (1995). "Central-Bank Independence Revisited" American Economic
Review. Vol. 85, No. 2, ss. 201-206. Fischer, Stanley (1994). "Modern Central Banking" (in) The Future of Central Banking:
The Tercentenary Symposium of the Bank of England. Ed. by Forrest Capie et al.,
Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, ss. 262-308. Flood, Robert P. and Peter Isard (1989). "Monetary Policy Strategies" IMF Staff Papers.
Vol. 36, No. 3, ss. 612-632.
Florini, Ann M. (1999). "Does the Invisible Hand Need a Transparent Glove? The Politics of Transparency" Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics 1999. ss.
163-184.
Friedman, Milton (1968). "The Role of Monetary Policy" American Economic Review. Vol.
58, No. 1, ss. 1-17.
Grilli, Vittorio, Donato Masciandaro and Guido Tabellini (1991). "Political and Monetary Institutions and Public Financial Policies in the Industrial Countries" Economic Policy.
Vol. 13, ss. 341-392.
Hall, Robert E. and N. Gregory Mankiw (1993). "Nominal Income Targeting" NBER Working
Paper Series. No. 4439, ss. 1-35. IMF (1998). Report of the Working Group on Transparency and Accountability.
Washington, IMF Publications. Issing, Otmar (1999). "The Monetary Policy of the ECB: Stability, Transparency,
Accountability" (A Speech at The Royal Institute of International Affairs), London, 25
October 1999, (Çevrimiçi) http://www.ecb.int, ss. 1-6. Johnson, David (1997). "The Credibility of Monetary Policy: International Evidence Based on
Surveys of Expected Inflation," (in) Price Stability, Inflation Targets and Monetary
Policy. (Proceedings of a Conference held by The Bank of Canada), ss. 361-395. Kydland, Finn E. and Edward C. Prescott (1977). "Rules Rather than Discretion: The
Inconsistency of Optimal Plans," (in) Monetary and Fiscal Policy (Volume 1:
Credibility), Ed by Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini, 2nd Ed., London, The MIT
Press, 1995, ss. 35-55.
20 Tahir
Büyükakı
n
Lane, Timothy (1996). "Which Strategy of Monetary Policy for Europe?" (in) Monetary
Policy in an Integrated World Economy. Ed. by Horst Siebert, Germany, Institut für
Weltwirtschaft an der Universitat Kiel, ss. 167-189. Leibfritz, Willi, Deborah Roseveare and Paul van den Noord (1994). "Fiscal Policy,
Government Debt and Economic Performance" OECD Economics Department Working
Papers. No. 144, ss. 1-85. Lohmann, Susanne (1996). "Quis Custodiet Ipsos Custodes? Necessary Conditions for Price
Stability in Europe," (in) Monetary Policy in an Integrated World Economy. Ed. by Horst
Siebert, Germany, Institut für Weltwirtschaft an der Universitat Kiel, ss. 139-160. Lucas, Jr. Robert E. and Nancy L. Stokey (1995). "Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy in an
Economy without Capital" (in) Monetary and Fisacal Policy (Volume 1: Credibility), Ed.
by Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini, 2nd Ed., London, The MIT Press, ss. 347-388. Martin, Paul (1995). "The Canadian Experience in Reducing Budget Deficits and Debt" (in)
Budget Deficits and Debt: Issues and Options. (A Symposium Sponsored By The Fe¬deral Reserve Bank of Kansas City), Wyoming, The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Publication, ss. 203-225. McCallum, Bennett T. (1988). "Robustness Properties of a Rule for Monetary Policy"
Carnigie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy. No. 29, ss. 173-204. Mishkin, Frederic S. (1998). "International Experiences with Different Monetary Policy
Regimes," Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series. No: 57, ss. 1-46.
Oktar
, Suat (1996) Merkez Bankalarının Bağımsızlığı. İstanbul. Bilim Teknik Yayınevi. Persson, Torsten and Guido Tabellini (1995a). "Introduction" (in) Monetary and Fiscal
Policy (Volume 1: Credibility), Ed by Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini, 2nd Ed.,
London, The MIT Press, ss. 1-31. Persson, Torsten and Guido Tabellini (1995b). "Designing Institutions for Monetary
Stability" (in) Monetary and Fiscal Policy (Volume 1: Credibility), Ed by Torsten
Persson and Guido Tabellini, 2nd Ed., London, The MIT Press, ss. 279-310. RBNZ (1998). The Reserve Bank of New Zealand Act 1989: Our Accountability to New
Zealanders. (Çevrimiçi) http://www.rbnz.govt.nz Remsperger, Hermann and Andreas Worms (1999). "Transparency in Monetary Policy"
Center for Financial Studies Working Paper. No. 1999/16, ss. 1-15. Rogoff, Kenneth (1995). "The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate
Monetary Target" (in) Monetary and Fiscal Policy (Volume 1: Credibility), Ed. by
Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini, 2nd Ed., London, The MIT Press, ss. 203-223. Rudebusch, Glenn D. and Lars E.O. Svensson (1998). "Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting"
Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series. No. 49, ss. 1-47. Sargent, Thomas J. and Neil Wallace (1986). "Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic"
(in) Thomas J. Sargent, Rational Expectations and Inflation. New York, Harper&Row
Publishers, ss. 158-190.
Güvenilir
Bi
r Para Politikası Stratejisinin Kurumsal Çerçevesi 21
Sayıştay (2000). 2000 Yılı MaliRaporu. Ankara, 2000. (Çevrimiçi) http://www.sayistay.gov.tr
Snowdon, Brian, Howard Vane and Peter Wynarczyk (1996). A Modern Guide to Macroeconomics. 3rd Ed., United Kingdom, Edward Elgar Publishing Company.
Svensson, Lars E. O. (1998). "Inflation Targeting as a Monetary Policy Rule" Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series. No: 62, ss. 1-50.
Svensson, Lars E. O. (1997). "Inflation Forecast Targeting: Implementing and Monitoring Inflation Targets" European Economic Review. No. 41, ss. 1111-1146.
Taylor, John B. (1995). "Monetary Policy Implications of Greater Fiscal Discipline" (in) Budget Deficits and Debt: Issues and Options. (A Symposium Sponsored By The Fe¬deral Reserve Bank of Kansas City), Wyoming, The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Publication, ss. 151- 170.
Taylor, John B. (1993) "Discretion Versus Policy Rules in Practice" Carnigie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy. No. 39, ss. 195-214.
Walsh, Carl (1995). "Optimal Contracts for Central Bankers" American Economic Review.
Vol. 85, No. 1, ss. 150-167

Thank you for copying data from http://www.arastirmax.com