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DÖVİZ KURU DALGALANMALARI VE PETROL FİYATI ŞOKLARININ TÜRKİYE’NİN EKONOMİK BÜYÜMESİ ÜZERİNE ETKİSİ

THE EFFECTS OF OIL PRICE SHOCKS AND EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN TURKEY

Journal Name:

  • Niğde Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi

Publication Year:

  • 2016

Key Words:

Keywords (Original Language):

Author NameUniversity of AuthorFaculty of Author
Abstract (2. Language): 
Oil and petroleum products and services, most of which are necessary for developed and developing countries and is an entry qualification is use. The countries do not have sufficient resources to Turkey was made dependent on oil imports and is an important factor in the emergence of the current account deficit. Oil and petroleum products account for approximately 20% of imports. This is a factor that negatively affect the country's economic growth. Moreover, ın previous studies, the findings were also found in terms of fluctuations in exchange rates caused volatility in oil prices. In this study, especially in times of crisis to what extent the negative impact made by econometric methods are tried to put forward the extreme volatility that occurred in the oil price and exchange rate fluctuations in Turkey's economic growth.
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Abstract (Original Language): 
Petrol ve petrolden üretilen mal ve hizmetler, çoğu gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülke için gerekli olan ve kullanılan bir girdi niteliğindedir. Türkiye için petrol kaynaklarının yetersiz olması ülkeyi ithalata bağımlı hale getirmiş ve cari açığın ortaya çıkmasında önemli bir faktördür. Petrol ve petrol ürünleri, ithalatın yaklaşık %20’sini oluşturmaktadır. Bu da ülkenin ekonomik büyümesini olumsuz etkileyen bir faktördür. Ayrıca daha önce yapılan çalışmalarda petrol fiyatlarındaki dalgalanmaların döviz kurlarında oynaklığa neden olduğu yönünde bulgulara da rastlanmıştır. Bu çalışmada özellikle kriz dönemlerinde petrol fiyatlarında meydana gelen aşırı oynaklığın ve döviz kurundaki dalgalanmaların Türkiye’nin ekonomik büyümesine ne derece olumsuz etki yaptığı ekonometrik yöntemlerle ortaya koyulmaya çalışılmıştır.
FULL TEXT (PDF): 
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  • 3
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  • Turkish

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REFERENCES

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