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Vergi Yapısının Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerindeki Etkisi: OECD Ülkelerinden Ampirik Bir Kanıt

The Impact of Tax Structure on Economic Growth: An Empirical Evidence from OECD Countries

Journal Name:

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DOI: 
https://doi.org/10.25272/j.2147-7035.2017.5.3.13
Abstract (2. Language): 
The aim of this paper is to investigate the impact of tax structure on long-run economic growth for the period 1971 - 2014 of twenty-two OECD countries. There is a large number of studies on this issue. Besides, the acquired results vary depending on differences of empirical methodology. Also, a limited number of previous studies take in consideration the cross-sectional dependence in the panel. In this article panel causality and dynamic panel estimation methods that show regard to the cross-sectional dependence are used. The empirical findings indicate that consumption (indirect) taxes have a positive impact and that tax levels with income and property (direct) taxes have a negative impact on long-run economic growth. These robust estimation results, on the one hand, support the claim that consumption taxes are nondistortionary taxes for long-run economic growth, and on the other hand, can not provide any empirical evidence about the claim that property taxes are growth-friendly taxes.
Abstract (Original Language): 
Bu çalışmanın amacı, vergi yapısının uzun dönem ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisini, 22 OECD ülkesinin 1971-2014 dönemi için araştırmaktır. Konu üzerine daha önce yapılmış çok sayıda çalışma bulunmaktadır. Bununla beraber, ampirik metodoloji farklılıklarına bağlı olarak elde edilen sonuçlar da değişebilmektedir. Ayrıca daha önce yapılmış az sayıda çalışma, panelde yatay kesit bağımlılığını dikkate almıştır. Bu makalede, yatay kesit bağımlılığını dikkate alan panel nedensellik ve dinamik panel tahmin yöntemleri kullanılmıştır. Ampirik bulgular, uzun dönem ekonomik büyüme performansı üzerinde tüketim vergilerinin (dolaylı vergilerin) pozitif, vergi yükü ile gelir ve servet vergilerinin (dolaysız vergilerin) ise negatif etkisinin olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır. Bu güçlü tahmin sonuçları, uzun dönem ekonomik büyüme performansı için tüketim vergilerinin bozucu olmayan vergiler olduğu iddiasını desteklerken servet vergilerinin büyüme dostu vergiler olduğu iddiasına ise ampirik kanıt sunamamaktadır.
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