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TÜRKİYE'DE İHRACAT VE GSMH ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN KOİNTEGRASYON YÖNTEMİYLE İNCELENMESİ

Turkey's exports and GDP cointegration METHOD INVESTIGATION OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN

Journal Name:

  • Sosyal Siyaset Konferansları Dergisi

Publication Year:

  • 2005
Author NameUniversity of Author
Abstract (2. Language): 
This study tries to explore the relationship between export and GNP using cointegration in Turkey during 1955-2002 period. In order to determine the causality between export and GNP, the Error Correction Method and causality tests are employed. We found that there is a one¬way causality exists from GNP to export. These findings indicate that in order to have sustainable growth, country should encourage the policies which are increase export.
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Abstract (Original Language): 
Bu çalışmada, Türkiye'de ihracat ve GSMH arasındaki ilişki kointegrasyon yöntemi kullanılarak 1955-2002 dönemi için incelenmiştir. Hata düzeltme yöntemi ve nedensellik testlerinden yararlanılarak ihracat ve GSMH arasındaki ilişkinin yönü tespit edilmiştir. Test sonuçlarından, GSMH'den ihracata yönelik tek taraflı bir nedenselliğin olduğu gözlenmiştir. Bu anlamda GSMH ihracatın Granger nedenidir. Bu çerçevede Türkiye'de sürdürülebilir bir büyüme ortamını sağlayacak politikaların ihracat performansı için önemli bir unsur olduğu ifade edilebilir.
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  • 1
1029-1040
  • Turkish

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