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A Study of Outbreak of Measles Epidemic in Greater Kolkata

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Abstract (2. Language): 
The SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Removal) type of epidemic model for the outbreak of measles is considered here with the time dependent recovery rate in greater Kolkata. The infectivity curves of the disease has been computed both from the model and from the data available upto the year 1995. These have been extrapolated upto 2005 years. It has been seen that the number of the infectives for the forthcoming year is almost steady.
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REFERENCES

References: 

1. J. N. Kapur, App. Math. Modelling 3, 1979, 456-458.
2. Mathematical Models in Biology and Medicine by J.N. Kapur, Affiliated East-West Press Private Limited.
3. Census of India, Administrative Service Director of Census Operations West Bengal 1981. (West Bengal Series 23).
4. Census of India, Administrative Service Director of Census Operations West Bengal 1991. (West Bengal Series 26).
5. Data Source : Office of the Superintendent, ID Hospital, Beliaghata, Kolkata 700010. (West Bengal).
6. Numerical Mathematical Analysis : James B. Scarborough (1966), (533¬543). Oxford and IBH Publishing Co. Pvt. Ltd.

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