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Türkiye İçin Enflasyonu Hızlandırmayan İşsizlik Oranı (NAIRU) Tahmini

Estimating Nonaccelerating Inflation Rate Of Unemployment (NAIRU) For Turkey

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Abstract (2. Language): 
In this paper, time varying NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) is estimated with Kalman filter approach using model similar to Gordon’s (1997) triangle model for Turkey. NAIRU estimates are obtained not much volatile for the estimation period 2000:1–2007:4. NAIRU rate estimated in this study is higher from OECD average calculated by Turner et al. (2001).
Abstract (Original Language): 
Bu çalışmada Türkiye için Gordon’un (1997) üçlü modeline benzer bir model kullanılarak Kalman filtresi yaklaşımıyla zamanla değişen NAIRU (enflasyonu hızlandırmayan işsizlik oranı) tahmini yapılmaktadır. Araştırma dönemi (2000:1– 2007:4) için fazla dalgalanmayan bir NAIRU tahmini elde edilmiştir. Çalışmadan elde edilen NAIRU değerleri Turner vd. (2001) tarafından hesaplanan OECD ortalamalarından yüksektir.
71-83

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REFERENCES

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