Bakhshi, H., Kapetanios, G. ve Yates, A. (2003). Rational expectations and
fixed-event forecasts: An application to UK inflation. Bank of England Working
Paper, No. 176.
Barlas Özer, Y. ve Mutluer, D. (2005). Inflation expectations in Turkey:
statistical evidence from the business tendency survey. Central Bank Review, 5 (2):
73-97.
Barro, R. J. (1976). Rational expectations and the role of monetary policy.
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2 (1): 1-33.Bilgili, F. (2001). The unbiasedness and efficiency tests of the rational
expectations hypothesis. MPRA Paper, No. 24114.
Brown, B. W. ve Maital, S. (1981). What do economists known? An
empirical study of experts’ expectations. Econometrica, 49 (2): 491-504.
Dabbs, R. E., Smith, K. L. ve Brocato, J. (1991). Tests on the rationality of
professional business forecasters with changing forecast horizons. Quarterly
Journal of Business and Economics, 30 (2): 28-50.
Dickey, D. ve Fuller, W. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for
autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical
Association, 74 (366): 427-431.
Enders, W. (1995). Applied econometric time series. United States of
America: John Wiley & Sons.
Evans, G. W. ve Gulamani, R. (1984). Tests for rationality of the Carlson-
Parkin inflation expectations data. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 46
(1): 1-19.
Forsells, M. ve Kenny, G. (2002). The rationality of consumer’ inflation
expectations: Survey-based evidence for the EURO area. European Central Bank
Working Paper, No.163.
Jeong, J. ve Maddala, G. S. (1991). Measurement errors and tests for
rationality. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 9 (4): 431-439.
Jonsson, T. ve Osterholm, P. (2010). The properties of survey-based
inflation expectations in Sweden. National Institute of Economic Research
Working Paper, No. 114.
Kara, H. ve Küçük-Tuğer, H. (2005). Some evidence on the (ir)rationality
of inflation expectations in Turkey. The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey
Working Paper, No. 05/12.
Karadaş, E. ve Öğünç, F. (2003). An analysis of inflation expectations of
Turkish private manufacturing industry. Central Bank Review, 3 (2): 57-83.
Lucas, R. E. (1972). Expectations and the neutrality of money. Journal of
Economic Theory, (4): 103-114.
Lyziak, T. (2003). Consumer inflation expectations in Poland. European
Central Bank Working Paper Series, No. 287.
Mehra, Y. P. (2002). Survey measures of expected inflation: Revisiting
content and rationality. Economic Quarterly, 88 (3): 17-36.
Metin, K. ve Muslu, İ. (1999). Money demand, the Cagan Model, testing
rational expectations vs adaptive expectations: The case of Turkey. Empirical
Economics, 24 (3): 415-426.Mishkin, F. S. (1981). Are market forecasts rational?. National Bureau of
Economic Research Working Paper, No. 0507.
Oral, E. (2002). Inflation expectations derived from business tendency
survey of the Central Bank. The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey Working
Paper.
Oral, E., Saygılı, H., Saygılı, M. ve Tuncel, S. Ö. (2009). An assessment of
the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey’s survey of expectations. İktisat
İşletme ve Finans, 24 (276): 23-51.
Pearce, D. K. (1984). An empirical analysis of expected stock price
movements. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 16 (3): 317-327.
Pesando, J. E. A.(1975). Note on the rationality of the Livingston price
expectations. Journal of Political Economy, 83 (4): 849-858.
Phillips, P. ve Peron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series
regressions. Biometrika, 75 (2): 335-346.
Prat, G. ve Uctum, R. (2011). Modeling oil price expectations: evidence
from survey data. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 58 (3): 236-
247.
Razzak, W. A. (1997). Testing the rationality of the National Bank of New
Zealand’s survey data. Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper, 97 (5).
Sargent, T. J. ve Wallace, N. (1975). Rational expectations, the optimal
monetary instrument, and the optimal money supply rule. Journal of Political
Economy, 83 (2): 241-255.
Turnovsky, S. J. (1970). Empirical evidence on the formation of
expectations. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 65 (332): 1441-1454.
Uygur, E. (1989). Inflation expectations of the Turkish manufacturing
firms. Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey Discussion Paper, No.8904.
Zivot, E. ve Andrews, D. W. K. (1992). Further evidence on the Great
Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the unit-root hypothesis. Journal of Business and
Economics Statistics, 10 (3), 251-270.
Thank you for copying data from http://www.arastirmax.com
