Buradasınız

Anasayfa » Content

Türkiye’de Kamu Gelirleri ve Harcamaları Arasındaki İlişki Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir Analiz

An Econometric Analysis On The Relationship Between Government Revenues And Expenditures In Turkey

Journal Name:

  • Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi

Publication Year:

  • 2008

Key Words:

Keywords (Original Language):

Author NameUniversity of Author
Abstract (2. Language): 
This study, which focuses on the role of the government revenue-expenditure nexus on the dynamics of the budget balance in Turkey, aims at testing the validity of the theorems known as spend-and-tax and tax-and-spend hypotheses in the relevant literature. Statistical tests used in the study are carried out by alternative econometric estimation methods with time series covering the 1987:1-2003:4 periods. Findings based on the tests indicate that it is the public revenues which adjust to deviations from the revenue-expenditure balance of the public sector in Turkey. In other words, empirical findings of this study indicate evidence supporting the validity of the spend-and-tax hypothesis in Turkey.
Bookmark/Search this post with
Abstract (Original Language): 
Türkiye’de kamu gelirleri ve harcamaları arasındaki iliskinin bütçe dengesi dinamikleri üzerindeki rolüne odaklanan bu çalısma, ilgili literatürde harcama-vergi ve vergi-harcama hipotezleri olarak bilinen kuramların geçerliliğini sınamayı amaçlamaktadır. Çalısmada yer verilen istatistiksel sınamalar 1987:1-2003:4 dönemini kapsayan zaman serileri ile alternatif ekonometrik tahmin yöntemleri kullanılarak gerçeklestirilmektedir. Sınamalar sonucunda elde edilen bulgular, Türkiye’de kamu kesiminin gelir-gider dengesinde meydana gelen sapmalara kamu gelirlerinde kaydedilen değisimlerle uyum sağlandığı yönündedir. Bir baska deyisle, bu çalısmanın ampirik bulguları Türkiye’de harcama-vergi hipotezinin geçerliliğini destekler bir nitelik göstermektedir.
FULL TEXT (PDF): 
PDF icon arastirmax-turkiyede-kamu-gelirleri-harcamalari-arasindaki-iliski-uzerine-ekonometrik-bir-analiz.pdf
  • 20
143-160
  • Turkish

REFERENCES

References: 

Akçoraoğlu, A. (1999). “Kamu Harcamaları, Kamu Gelirleri ve Keynesçi
Politikalar: Bir Nedensellik Analizi, Gazi Üniversitesi ĐĐBF Dergisi, 2:
51-65.
Anderson, W., Wallace, M. S. ve Warner, J. T. (1986). “Government
Spending and Taxation: What Causes What?”, Southern Economic
Journal, 52(3): 630-639.
Baghestani, H. ve McNown, R. (1994). “Do Revenues or Expenditures
Respond to Budgetary Disequilibria?”, Southern Economic Journal,
61(2): 311-322.
Barro, R. J. (1974). “Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?”, Journal of
Political Economy, 82(6): 1095-1117.
Buchanan, J. ve Wagner, R. (1977). Democracy in Deficit. New York:
Academic Press.
Darrat, A. F. (1998). “Tax and Spend, or Spend and Tax? An Inquiry into the
Turkish Budgetary Process, Southern Economic Journal, 64(4): 940-
956.
Friedman, M. (1978). “The Limitations of Tax Limitation”, Policy Review,
Summer: 7-14.
Gonzalo, J. (1994). “Five Alternative Methods of Estimating Long-run
Equilibrium Relationships”, Journal of Econometrics, 60: 203–233.
Günaydın, Đ. (2000). “Türkiye’de Kamu Gelirleri ve Kamu Harcamaları
Arasındaki Nedensel Đliski”, Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi ĐĐBF
Dergisi, 5(1): 55-74.
Günaydın, Đ. (2004a). “Gelir veya Harcama Ayarlamaları Yoluyla Bütç
dengesi Sağlanabilir mi? Türkiye Örneği”, Đktisat Đsletme ve Finans,
218: 84-98.
Günaydın, Đ. (2004b). “Vergi-Harcama Tartısması: Türkiye Örneği”, Doğus
Üniversitesi Dergisi, 5(2): 163-181.
Hansen, B. E. (1992). “Tests for Parameter Instability in Regressions with
I(1) Processes”, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 10(3):
321-335.
Johansen, S. (1988). “Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors”, Journal
of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12: 293-300.
Kwaitkowski, D., Phillips, P.C.B., Schmidt, P. ve Shin, Y., (1992). “Testing
the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity Against the Alternative of a Unit
Root: How Sure Are We That Economic Time Series Have a Unit
Root?”, Journal of Econometrics, 54: 159–178.
Meltzer, A. H. ve Richard, S. F. (1981). “A Rational Theory of the Size of
Government”, The Journal of Political Economy, 89(5): 914-927.
Musgrave, R. (1966). “Principles of Budget Determination” in H. Cameron
and W. Henderson (eds.), Public Finance Selected Reading. New York:
Random House, 15-27.
Narayan, P. K. ve Narayan, S. (2006) “Government Revenue and
Government Expenditure Nexus: Evidence from Developing Countries”,
Applied Economics, 38: 285-291.
Payne, J. E. (1997). “The Tax-Spend Debate: The Case of Canada”, Applied
Economics Letters, 4: 381-386.
Peacock, A. ve Wiseman, J. (1979). “Approaches To the Analysis of
Government Expenditure Growth”, Public Finance Review, 7: 3-23.
Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y. ve Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches
to the Analysis of Level Relationships”, Journal of Applied
Econometrics, 16: 289-326.
Phillips, P. C. B. ve Hansen, B. E. (1990). “Statistical Inference in
Instrumental Variables Regression With I(1) Processes”, Review of
Economic Studies, 57: 99-125.
Pınar, A. (1989). “A Model of Government Expenditures in Turkey”, Yapı
Kredi Economic Review, 9(2): 55-71.

Thank you for copying data from http://www.arastirmax.com