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PARA VE MALİYE POLİTİKALARININ İMKB ENDEKSİ ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİLERİNİN İNCELENMESİ: İMKB, MAKROEKONOMİK POLİTİKALAR AÇISINDAN BİLGİ ETKİN MİDİR ?

EXAMINING THE EFFECTS OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICIES ON ISE INDEX :IS ISE INFORMATIONALLY EFFICIENT WITH RESPECT TO MACROECONOMIC POLICIES ?

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Abstract (2. Language): 
The puprpose of this article is to examine the relationship between macroeconomic policies and stock prices at İstanbul Stock Exchange. Within this context, whether İstanbul Stock Exchange is informationally efficient with respect to macroeconomic policies has been tested. Granger Casuality tests have been used in the context of a Vector Autoregression Model to test the relationship between money supply and ISE stock prices, and budget surplus (or deficit) and ISE stock prices. Money supply has been used as the proxy for monetary policy and budget surplus (or deficit) for fiscal policy. Our findings indicate that ISE is informationally efficient with respect to monetary policy, while it is informationally inefficient with respect to fiscal policy.
Abstract (Original Language): 
Bu makalenin amacı, makroekonomik politikalarla İstanbul menkul kıymetler Borsası’ndaki hisse senedi fiyatları arasındaki ilişkiyi incelemektir. Bu bağlamda, İMKB’nın makroekonomik politikalar açısından bilgi etkin olup olmadığı test edilmiştir. Para arzı ile İMKB hisse senetleri ve bütçe fazlası (veya açığı) ile İMKB hisse senetleri arasındaki ilişkiyi test etmek için Vektör Otoregresyon Modeli (VAR) bağlamında , Granger Nedensellik testleri kullanılmıştır. Bulgularımız İMKB’nın para politikası açısından bilgi etkin olduğunu, ancak; maliye politikası açısından bilgi etkin olmadığını ortaya koymaktadır.
129-142

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