Buradasınız

ORTA ASYA TÜRK CUMHURİYETLERİNDE HOLLANDA HASTALIĞI RİSKİ: AMPİRİK BİR ANALİZ

Dutch Disease Risk in Central Asian Turkish Republics: An Empirical Analysis

Journal Name:

Publication Year:

Abstract (2. Language): 
In this study, Dutch disease hypothesis tested for the Central Asian Turkish Republics via panel data analysis methods for 1990-2010 periods. As a result of the analysis, an increase in crude oil price negatively affects the real exchange rate and Dutch Disease hypothesis invalid in these countries. It was found that trade openness; foreign direct investments and government expenditures have positive impact on the real exchange rate in these countries.
Abstract (Original Language): 
Bu çalışmada Hollanda hastalığı hipotezi, Orta Asya Türk Cumhuriyetleri için, 1990-2011 dönemi verileriyle, panel veri analizi yöntemiyle test edilmiştir. Analiz sonucunda, bu ülkelerde petrol fiyatlarındaki artışların, reel döviz kurunu negatif yönde etkilediği ve söz konusu hipotezin geçerli olmadığı tespit edilmiştir. Ticari dışa açıklık, doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar ve kamu harcamalarının ise reel döviz kurunu pozitif yönde etkilediği bulgusuna ulaşılmıştır.
251
274

REFERENCES

References: 

Adenauer, I., L. Vagassky (1998) "Aid and the Real Exchange Rate: Dutch Effects in Afrian Countries", Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policiy,
33(4), 177-185.
Arı, A., B. Özcan (2012) "Hollanda Hastalığı: Gelişmekte Olan Ülkeler Üzerine Bir Uygulama", Sosyoekonomi, 2, 153-172.
Atkinson, G., K. Hamilton (2003) "Savings, Growth and The Resource Curse Hypothesis", World Development, 31(11), 1793-1807.
Baltagi, B.H. (2001) Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, (2d ed) New York: John Wiley&Sons.
Baltagi, B.H. (2005) Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, (3d ed) New York: John Wiley&Sons.
Beyaert, A., M. Camacho (2008) "TAR Panel Unit Root Tests and Real Convergence: An Application to the EU Enlargement Process", Review of Development Economics, 12(3), 668-681.
270
Mehmet MERCAN, İsmet GÖÇER
Breitung, J. (2000) "The Local Power of Some Unit Root Tests for Panel Data", in B. Baltagi (ed.), Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration, and Dynamic Panels", Advances in Econometrics, 15, Amsterdam: Jai, 161-178.
Choi, I. (2001) "Unit Roots Tests For Panel Data", Journal of International Money and Finance, 20, 229-272.
Collier, P., A. Hoeffler (2004) "Greed and Grievance in Civil War", Oxford Economic
Papers, 56(4), 563-95.
Corden,
W.M.
, J.P. Neary (1982) "Booming Sector and De-Industrialisation in a Small
Open Economy", The Economic Journal, 92(368), 825-848.
De
Gregorio
, J., H. Wolf (1994) "Terms of Trade, Productivity, and the Real Exchange Rate", National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper, No. 4807.
Demirtepe, M.T. (2008)
Ort
a Asya ve Kafkasya'da Güç Politikası, No:16, Ankara:
USAK Yayınları.
Elbadawi, I.A. (1999) "External Aid: Help or Hindrance to Export Orientation in Africa", Journal of African Economies, 8(4), 578-616.
Egert, B. (2005) "Equilibrium Exchange Rates in South Eastern Europe, Russia, Ukraine and Turkey: Healthy or (Dutch) Diseased?" Economic Systems,
29(2), 205-241.
Elbadawi, I.E., M. Soto (1997) "Real Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Adjustments in Sub-Sahran Africa and Other Developing Countries", Journal of African Economics, 6,1-56.
Emre, A. (2012) "Devrimlerden Sonra Arap
Baharı"
, DÜBAM (Dünya Bülteni Araştırma Masası) Yayınları.
Gylfason, T. (2004) "Natural Resources and Economic Growth: From Dependence to Diversification", CEPR Discussion paper, No. 4804.
Greene, W.H. (2003) Econometric Analysis, (5th Ed) Upper Saddle River, N.J.: Prentice- Hall.
Gujarati, D.N. (1999) Basic Econometrics, Mc Graw Hill. (3rd Ed.), İstanbul: Literatür Yayıncılık.
Hadri, K. (2000) "Testing for Stationarity in Heterogenous Panels". Econometrics
Journal, 3, 148-161.
Orta Asya Türk Cumhuriyetlerinde Hollanda Hastalığı Riski: Ampirik Bir Analiz 271
Hausmann, R., R. Rigobon (2003) "An Alternative Interpretation For The Resource Curse: Theory and Policy Implications", in Davis and others(??) (ed.), Fiscal Policy Formulation and Implementation in Oil Producing Countries, Washington: International Monetary Fund.
Haouas, I., R. Soto (2012) "Has the UAE Escaped the Oil Curse?", Instituto de Economia, No. 412.
Im K., H. Pesaran, Y. Shin (1997) Testing For Unit Roots in Heterogenous Panels.
Mimeo, Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge.
Im K., H. Pesaran, Y. Shin (2003) "Testing For Unit Roots in Heterogenous Panels". Journal of Econometrics, 115, 53-74.
IMF, (2008) World Economic Outlook, April, http://www.imf.org
IMF, (2009) World Economic Outlook, January, 28.
Javaid, S.H. (2011) "Dutch Disease Investigated: Empirical Evidence from Selected South-East Asian Economies", Journal of Economic Cooperation and Development, 32(4), 51-74.
Krugman, P. (1987) "The Narrow Moving Band, The Dutch Disease, and The Competitive Consequences of Mrs. Thatcher," Journal of Development Economics, 27, 41-55.
Krugman, P. (2001)
Bunalı
m Ekonomisinin Geri Dönüşü, Literatür Yayıncılık.
Kutan, A.M., ML. Wyzan (2005) "Explaining the Real Exchange Rate in Kazakhstan, 1996-2003, Is Kazakhstan Vulnerable to the Dutch Disease?", Economic
Systems, 29(2), 242-255.
Lama, R., P. Madina
(2010
) "Is Exchange Rate Stabilization an Appropriate Cure for the Dutch Disease?" IMF Working Paper, No. 182.
Lane, P., A. Tornell (1996) "Power, Growth, and the Voracity Effect", Journal of Economic Growth, 1(2), 213-241.
Lartey, K. (2008) "Capital Inflows, Dutch Disease Effects, and Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy", Review of International Economics, 16(5), 671-689.
Latsis, O. (2005) "Dutch Disease Hits Russia", Moscow News, June 8-14. http://www.cdi.org/ russia/johnson/9173-16.cfm, [Erişim Tarihi: 10.06.2013].
Le Billon, P. (2001) Fueling War: Natural Resources and Armed Conflicts, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
272
Mehmet MERCAN, İsmet GÖÇER
Leite, C., J. Weidmann (1999) "Does Mother Nature Corrupt? Natural Resources, Corruption and Economic Growth", IMF Working Paper, No. 85.
Levin A., C. Lin, J. Chu (2002) "Unit Roots Tests in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties", Journal of Econometrics, 108(1), 24.
Maddala G.S., S. Wu (1999) "A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test", Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61,
631-652.
Mauro, P. (1995) "Corruption and Growth," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 90,
681-712.
Mehlum, H., K. Moene, R.T Orvik, (2006) "Institutions and The Resource Curse", The Economic Journal, 116, 1-20.
Nyoni, T.S. (1998) "Foreign Aid and Economic Performance in Tanzania", World Development, 26(7), 1235-1240.
Ogun, O. (1998) "Real Exchange Rate Movments and Export Growth: Nigeria, 1960¬1990", African Economic Research Consortium, Research Paper, No. 82.
Ouattara, B., E. Strobl (2003) "Do Aid Inflows Cause Dutch Disease: A Case Study of CFA France Countries", The School of Economics Discussion Paper Series, University of Manchester.
Oyesanmi, T.A. (2011) Investigating Dutch Disease: The Case of Nigeria,
Unpublished Master Thesis, Eastern Mediterranean University, Faculty of Business and Economics, Dept. of Economics, Supervisor: Assoc.Prof.Dr. C. Payaslıoğlu.
Oomes, N., K. Kalcheva (2007) "Diagnosing Dutch Disease: Does Russia Have the Symptoms?", IMF Working Paper, No. 102.
Özel, S. (2005) Global Finansal Krizler, Deniz Kültür Yayınları, No:13.
Pesaran, H. (2006) "A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross Section Dependence", Cambridge University, Working Paper, No:0346.
Ramey, G., V.A. Ramey (1995) "Cross-Country Evidence on the Link Between Volatility and Growth", American Economic Review, 85, 1138-1151.
Rautava, J. (2004) "The Role of Oil Prices and The Real Exchange Rate in Russia's Economy-A Cointegration Approach", Journal of Comparative Economics,
32, 315-327.
Orta Asya Türk Cumhuriyetlerinde Hollanda Hastalığı Riski: Ampirik Bir Analiz 273
Roland, G. (2005) The Russian Economy in the Year 2005, Mimeo, Berkeley: University of California at Berkeley,
http://emlab.berkeley.edu/users/groland/pubs/The_Russian_Economy_in_the_ Year_2005.pdf [Erişim Tarihi: 10.06.2013].
Ross, M.L. (2003) The Natural Resource Curse: How Wealth Can Make You Poor, in I. Bannon, P. Collier (ed), Natural Resorces and Violent Conflict: Options and Actions, Worldbank.
Sachs, J.D., A.M. Warner (1995) "Natural Resource Abundance and Economic Growth", National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper, No.
5398.
Sackey, H.A. (2001) "External Aid Inflows and the Real Exchange Rate in Ghana", African Economic Research Consortium, Research Paper, No. 110.
Sala-i-Martin, X., A. Subramanian (2003) "Addressing the Natural Resource Curse: An Illustration From Nigeria", National Bureau of Economic Research
Working Paper, No. 9804.
Sarno, L., M.P. Taylor (2003) The Economics of Exchange Rates, Cambridge: Cambridg University Pres.
Sarraf, M., M.
Jiwanj
i (2001) "Beating The Resource Curse: The Case Of Botswana", Environment Department Papers, Toward Environmentally And Socially Sustainable Development, Environmental Economics Series, The World Bank Group, September.
Stiglitz, J. (2004) "We can now cure Dutch disease For some nations, natural resoures are a curse - but it needn't be so", The Guardian, Wednesday August 18, 2004, http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2004/aug/18/comment.oilandpetrol, [Erişim Tarihi: 08.06.2013]
Tarhan, A. (2012)
Holland
a Hastalığı, http://www.ekonomik-cozum.com.tr/yazarlar /item/5098-hollanda-hastal%C4%B 1 %C4%9F%C4%B 1 .html, [Erişim Tarihi:
14.06.2013].
Taylor M., L. Sarno (1998) "The Behaviour of Real Exchange Rates During the Post-Bretton Woods Period", Journal of International Economics, 46, 281-312.
Tornell, A., P. Lane (1999) Voracity and Growth, American Economic Review, 89,
22-46.
Westin, P. (2004) Dutch Disease: Diagnosing Russia, Moscow: ATON Capital.
274
Mehmet MERCAN, İsmet GÖÇER
Wijnbergen, V.S. (1984) "The Dutch Disease: A Disease After All", Economic
Journal, 94, 41-55.
WorldBank, (2002) Treasure or Trouble? Mining in Developing Countries,
Washington, D.C.
Yardımcıoğlu, F., A. Gülmez (2013) "OPEC Ülkelerinde Hollanda Hastalığı: Petrol Fiyatları ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisinin Ekonometrik Bir Analizi", Sosyoekonomi Dergisi, 19, 117-141.
Yürük, M.S., S. Uzunoğlu (2008) Kaynakların Laneti Olgusu: Rusya Örneği, Trakya Üniversitesi, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi.

Thank you for copying data from http://www.arastirmax.com