Buradasınız

İMKB’NİN LATİN AMERİKA BORSALARIYLA İLİŞKİSİ ÜZERİNE ÇOK DEĞİŞKENLİ GARCH MODELLEMESİ

Journal Name:

Publication Year:

Keywords (Original Language):

Abstract (2. Language): 
Having financial integration of the emerging markets increases their sensitivity against global economic events. In this sense, the paper aims to estimate the relation between stock exchange markets in Turkey, Argentina and Brazil as being some of the emerging markets. In analyzing the relation with one of the Multivariate GARCH (MGARCH) methods, the findings of cross shock and volatility spillover on these three markets are interpreted. Accordingly, bidirectional shock spillover between ISE and BOVESPA and unidirectional volatiliy spillover from MERVAL to ISE are determined.
Abstract (Original Language): 
Gelişmekte olan piyasaların finansal bütünleşme içinde olmaları, küresel ekonomik olaylar karşısında duyarlılıklarını artırmaktadır. Bu anlamda çalışmada gelişmekte olan piyasalardan Türkiye, Arjantin ve Brezilya’daki menkul kıymetler borsaları arasındaki ilişki değerlendirilmektedir. İlişkinin analizinde çokdeğişkenli GARCH (MGARCH) yöntemi kullanılarak, üç piyasanın aralarındaki karşılıklı şok ve volatilite saçılımı (volatility spillover) üzerine elde edilen bulgular yorumlanmıştır. Buna göre İMKB ile BOVESPA arasında çift yönlü şok saçılımı, MERVAL’den İMKB’ye tek yönlü volatilite saçılımı tespit edilmiştir.
25-32

REFERENCES

References: 

Bollerslev T. (1986) “Generalised Autoregressive
Conditional Heteroskedasticity”, Journal of
Econometrics, 31, ss.307-327.
Bollerslev, Engle ve Wooldridge (1988) "A Capital
Asset Pricing Model with Time Varying
Covariances," Journal of Political Economy,
96, ss.116- 131.
Engle, (2003),”Risk and Volatility: Econometric
Models and Financial Practice” Nobel Lecture.
Engle, R. F. and Kroner, K. F. (1995), “Multivariate
simultaneous GARCH”, Econometric Theory,
11, ss.122-150.
Herrera, S. ve Salman, F., (2008), “Tangos, Sambas or
Belly Dancing? Or, do Spreads Dance to the
Same Rhythm? Signaling Regime Sustainability
in Argentina, Brazil and Turkey”, Research and
Monetary Policy Department Working Paper
No: 08/07, The Central Bank of the Republic of
Turkey.
Li , Majerowska, (2007), Testing stock market linkages
for Poland and Hungary: A multivariate
GARCH approach, Research in International
Business and Finance, Article in Press, ss. 20.
Li, (2007) International Linkages of the Chinese Stock
Exchanges : a multivariate GARCH analysis,
Applied Financial Economics, 17:4, ss.285-
297
Özün, A. (2007a), "International Transmission of
Volatility in the US Interest Rates to The Stock
Returns: Some Comparative Evidence From
World Equity Markets", International
Research Journal of Finance and Economics,
10.
Özün, A. (2007b), "Are The Reactions of Emerging
Equity Markets to The Volatility in Advanced
Markets Similar?: Comparative Evidence From
Brazil and Turkey", International Research
Journal of Finance and Economics, 9, ss.
220-230.
Taştan, H. (2006), Estimating time varying conditional
corelations between stock and foreign exchange
markets, Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and
its Applications, 360-2, ss. 445-458
Çaşkurlu, T., Pınar, M.Ç., Salih A., Salman, F. (2008),
“Can Central Bank Interventions Affect the
Exchange Rate Volatility? Multivariate GARCH
Approach Using Constrained Nonlinear
Programming”, TCMB Working Paper, No.
08/06.

Thank you for copying data from http://www.arastirmax.com