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SEÇİLMİŞ ASYA ÜLKELERİ İÇİN İHRACATA DAYALI BÜYÜME MODELİ: PANEL EŞBÜTÜNLEŞME VE NEDENSELLİK ANALİZİ

EXPORT-LED GROWTH MODEL FOR SELECTED ASIAN COUNTRIES: PANEL COINTEGRATION AND CAUSALITY ANALYSIS

Journal Name:

  • Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi

Publication Year:

  • 2014

Key Words:

Keywords (Original Language):

Author NameUniversity of AuthorFaculty of Author
Abstract (2. Language): 
The aim of this paper is to investigate the export-led growth hypothesis for non export oil 27 Asian countries including Turkey by using panel cointegration and panel causality technique for the period 1994-2010. In the two different models, it was estimated impact of exports and gross fixed capital formation on GDP and non-export GDP. As a result, the empirical analysis implies unidirectional causal relationship from exports and gross fixed capital formation to GDP in both short and long-term. In other words, the findings support the export-led growth model for 27 Asian countries including Turkey.
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Abstract (Original Language): 
Bu çalışmada petrol ihraç etmeyen Türkiye dahil 27 Asya ülkesinde 1994-2010 yılları için ihracata dayalı büyüme modeli panel eş bütünleşme ve panel nedensellik analizleri ile test edilmektedir. İki farklı modelde hem GSYİH ve hem de ihracatı içermeyen GSYİH üzerinde ihracat ve brüt sabit sermaye yatırımlarının etkileri tahmin edilmiştir. Sonuçta, her iki modelde de kısa ve uzun dönemde ihracat ve brüt sabit sermaye yatırımlarından GSYİH'ya doğru tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir. Başka bir ifade ile bulgular 27 Asya ülkesinde ihracata dayalı büyüme modelini desteklemektedir.
FULL TEXT (PDF): 
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