You are here

ÜST ORTA GELİR GRUBU ÜLKELERİNDE DIŞ TİCARET VE İKTİSADİ BÜYÜME

Foreign Trade and Economic Growth in Upper Middle Income Countries

Journal Name:

Publication Year:

Abstract (2. Language): 
In this study, the causality relationship between economic growth and foreign trade in the middle high income level countries, Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Iran, Malaysia and Turkey, has been aimed to analyze. It has been assayed with panel data within the framework of the vector auto regression model. After the co integration test, depends on error correction model, long run and short run causality between variables used in the model has been tested. The result of the existence of one way causality from export to the national income has been reached in the analyzed countries except Iran. As a consequence, it could be said that export-led growth hypothesis are accepted in middle high income level countries.
Abstract (Original Language): 
Bu çalışmada üst orta gelir grubu ülkelerinde (Arjantin, Brezilya, Meksika, İran, Malezya ve Türkiye) dış ticaret ile ekonomik büyüme arasında nedensellik ilişkisinin araştırılması amaçlanmıştır. Söz konusu ilişki panel verilerine dayalı olarak vektör otoregresif modeli çerçevesinde analiz edilmiştir. Eşbütünleşme testinden sonra hata düzeltme modeline dayalı olarak kısa ve uzun dönem nedensellik ilişkisi test edilmiştir. İncelenen ülkelerde, İran dışında, ihracattan milli gelire tek yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisinin varlığı sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Sonuç olarak, üst orta gelir grubu ülkelerde ihracat yönlü büyüme hipotezinin kabul edildiği söylenebilir
303-312

REFERENCES

References: 

1. AGBETSIAFA, Douglas K. (2010), “Regional Integration, Trade Openness, And
Economic Growth: Causality Evidence From UEMOA Countries”,
International Business & Economics Research Journal, 9: 10, pp. 55-67.
2. AHMED, Abdullahi D., Enjiang CHENG and George MESSINIS, (2008), “The
Role of Exports, FDI and Imports in Development: New Evidence from
Sub-Saharan African Countries”, Centre for Strategic Economic Studies,
Victoria University Working Paper No. 39.
3. AWOKUSE, T.O. (2007), “Causality between exports, imports and economic
growth. Evidence from transition economies”, Economics Letters, 94, pp.
389-995.
4. AWOKUSE, T.O. (2008), Trade openness and economic growth: is growth exportled
or import-led?”, Applied Economics, 40, pp.161–173.
5. DAR, Atul ve AMIRKHALKHALI, Sal, (2003) “On the impact of trade openness
on growth: further evidence from OECD countries”, Applied Economics,
35: 16, pp.1761-1766.
6. DAWSON, P. J. ve HUBBARD, L. J., (2004) “Exports and economic growth in
Central and East European countries during transition”, Applied
Economics, 36: 16, pp.1819-1824.
7. DE PIÑERES, Sheila Amin Gutiérrez ve Cantavella-Jordá, Manuel, (2007)
“Export-led growth: are the results robust across methodologies and/or
data sets? A case study of Latin America”, Applied Economics, 39: 12,
pp.1475-1500.
8. FUGAROLAS, Guadalupe, Isis MA˜NALICH ve MATESANZ, David, (2007),
“Are Exports Causing Growth? Evidence On International Trade
Expansion In Cuba, 1960-2004”, MPRA Paper No. 6323,
http://mpra.ub.uni-uenchen.de/6323/ 03.02.2011
9. GILES, Judith A. ve Cara L.WILLIAMS, (1999), “Export-led Growth : A Survey
of the Empirical Literature and Some Noncausality Results”, Econometrics
Working Paper EWP9901.
10. ISLAM, Faridul; Adnan HYE, Qazi MUHAMMAD and Muhammad SHAHBAZ,
(2001), “Imports-economic growth nexus: ARDL approach to
cointegration”, MPRA Paper No. 28462, http://mpra.ub.unimuenchen.
de/28462/ 03.02.2011
11. JIN, Jang C.(2001) 'Openness and growth: an interpretation of empirical evidence
from East Asian countries', The Journal Of International Trade &
Economic Development, 9: 1, pp.5-17.
12. KİM, Dong-Hyeon ve Shu-Chin LIN, (2009) “Trade and Growth at Different
Stages of Economic Development”, Journal of Development Studies, 45: 8,
pp.1211-1224.
13. KÓNYA, László, (2006), “Exports and growth: Granger causality analysis on
OECD countries with a panel data approach”, Economic Modelling, 23,
pp.978–992
14. LAWRENCE, Robert Z. ve David E. WEINSTEIN, (1999)., “Trade and Growth:
Import-Led or Export-Led? Evidence from Japan and Korea”, NBER
Working Paper No. 7264.
15. LO´PEZ, Ricardo A. (2005), “Trade And Growth: Reconciling The
Macroeconomic And Microeconomic Evidence”, Journal of Economic
Surveys, 19: 4, pp.623-648.
16. ÖRNEK, İbrahim ve Muhittin KAPLAN, (2008), “Dış Ticaret ve Kalkınma”,
Kalkınma Ekonomisi Seçme Yazılar (Ed. Sami Taban ve Muhsin Kar),
Ekin Yayınevi, Bursa, ss.133-156.
17. POP, Silaghi ve Monica IOANA, (2009), “Exports-Economic Growth Causality:
Evidence From Cee Countries”, Romanian Journal of Economic
Forecasting, 2, pp.105-117.
18. RAO, B. Bhaskara ve SINGH, Rup, (2010) “Effects of trade openness on the
steady-state growth rates of selected Asian countries with an extended
exogenous growth model”, Applied Economics, 42: 29, pp.3693-3702.
19. SOHN, Chan-Hyun ve Lee HONGSHIK, (2010), “Trade Structure, FTAs, and
Economic Growth”, Review Of Development Economics, 14(3), pp.683–
20. 698. e_574 6
21. WEISS, John, (2005), “Export Growth and Industrial Policy: Lessons from the East
Asian Miracle experience”,
www.iadb.org/intal/aplicaciones/uploads/ponencias/Foro_LAEBA_2005_1_Weis... 03.02.2011
22. ZHANG, Shuo, Jan ONDRİCH ve J. David RICHARDSON, (2004), “The Link
between Trade and Income: Export Effect, Import Effect, or Both?”,
23. http://faculty.maxwell.syr.edu/jondrich/PapersOnLine/shuo.jan.dave-
10.pdf 03.02.2011

Thank you for copying data from http://www.arastirmax.com