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Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımlar, Dış Ticaret ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Türkiye Üzerine Bir Deneme

Relationship with Foreign Direct Investment, Foreign Trade and Economic Growth: A Case Study on Turkey

Journal Name:

  • Celal Bayar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi

Publication Year:

  • 2010

Key Words:

Author NameUniversity of AuthorFaculty of Author
Abstract (2. Language): 
Liberalization of capital and foreign trade has become commonplace with globalization. In this paper, it is tried to examine foreign direct investment and foreign trade’s contribution to the economic growth in the Turkey which is integrated international markets. Causality relations between GDP, foreign direct investment, export and import are tested by the help of Granger Causality Analyze, quarterly data in 1991Q1-2007Q3 period. As a result foreign direct investment is follow export and import weakly, but there is no strong causality between economic growth and foreign direct investment. In this paper, it is also found as a result that there is a correlative relation between export and import with economic growth and found that there is an unilateral causality from imports to exports.
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Abstract (Original Language): 
Küreselleşmeyle birlikte dış ticaret ve sermayedeki serbestleşme hareketleri yaygınlaşmıştır. Bu çalışmada, uluslararası piyasalarla bütünleşen Türkiye’de doğrudan yabancı yatırımların ve dış ticaretin ekonomik büyümeye katkısı incelenmeye çalışılmıştır. 1991Q1- 2007Q3 döneminde üçer aylık verilerle GSYİH, doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar, ihracat ve ithalat değerleri arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi, Granger Nedensellik analizi yardımıyla test edilmiştir. Sonuç olarak doğrudan yabancı yatırımların zayıf da olsa ihracatı ve ithalatı takip ettiği, ancak doğrudan yabancı yatırımlarla ekonomik büyüme arasında güçlü bir nedensellik olmadığı bulunmuştur. Çalışmada ayrıca ithalat ve ihracat ile ekonomik büyüme arasında karşılıklı ve ithalattan ihracata doğru tek taraflı bir nedensellik olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.
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241-260
  • Turkish

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