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GUTENBERG-RICHTER BAĞINTISINDAKİ b DEĞERİNİN TESPİTİİÇİN ALTERNATİF BİR METOT VE GÜNEYBATI TÜRKİYE’DE BİR UYGULAMASI

AN ALTERNATIVE METHOD FOR THE ESTIMATION OF b-VALUE IN THE GUTENBERG-RICHTER RELATION WITH AN APPLICATION IN SOUTHWEST OF TURKEY

Journal Name:

  • Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Mühendislik Fakültesi Fen ve Mühendislik Dergisi

Publication Year:

  • 2006

Key Words:

Keywords (Original Language):

Author NameUniversity of AuthorFaculty of Author
Abstract (2. Language): 
In this study, the spatial distribution of seismicity and seismic hazard is undertaken for the Southwest of Turkey. For this purpose, the earthquakes of magnitude of M≥4 which were occurred between 1964 - 2002 were used in Southwest of Turkey. For the estimation of seismicity parameters and its mapping, Southwest of Turkey is divided into 169 rectangular subregions. The b value from the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-magnitude distributions is calculated by least squares method with a new alternative method and compared with the results directly calculated by least squares method. The a value in the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-magnitude distributions is taken a constant value in the new alternative method. The b value shows different distributions along the Southwest of Turkey for both techniques. From the new technique, low b-values are dominant in the western part of the studying region, while higher b-values are present in the eastern part. Finally, the return period and occurrence probability risk of M≥6 earthquakes in 75 years were calculated using Poisson model for both techniques. Maps of the occurrence probability risk and return period showed a better consistency with the b parameters seismicity maps calculated from new method. Moreover, the return period and occurrence probability risk maps calculated from both techniques showed a better consistency,with each other. The occurrence probability risk and return period of M≥6 earthquake were calculated as %90-95 and 15-30 years, respectively, from the Poisson model in the western part of the studying region.
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Abstract (Original Language): 
Çalışmada Güneybatı Türkiye’nin sismik riski ve sismisitesinin uzaysal dağılımı ele alınmıştır. Bu amaç için 1964–2002 yılları arasında bölgede meydana gelen M≥4 olan 722 adet deprem verisi kullanılmıştır. Sismisite parametrelerinin belirlenebilmesi ve haritalanması için çalışılan alan 169 alt bölgeye ayrılmıştır. Her bir alt bölge için, Gutenberg-Richter magnitüd-frekans bağıntısındaki b değeri en küçük kareler tekniği ve yeni bir alternatif metotla hesaplanarak doğrudan en küçük karelerden elde edilen sonuçlar ile karşılaştırılmıştır. Yeni alternatif metotta Gutenberg-Richter bağıntısındaki a parametresi sabit alınmıştır. Güneybatı Türkiye boyunca her iki teknik içinde b değeri farklı değişim göstermiştir. Yeni alternatif metot ile Güneybatı Türkiye’nin Doğusu yüksek b değeri gösterirken, Batı kanadında düşük b değerleri baskın olarak bulunmuştur. Son olarak, her iki teknikle de Poisson modeli kullanılarak çalışma alanı içerisinde M≥6 depremin 75 yıllık bir süreçte oluşma riski ve dönüş periyotları hesaplanarak haritalanmıştır. Her iki teknikle oluşturulan risk ve dönüş periyodu haritaları alternatif metotla oluşturulan b parametresi sismisite haritalarıyla oldukça uyumlu olarak bulunmuştur. Ayrıca, her iki teknikle de elde edilen risk ve dönüş periyotları bir biri ile tamamen uyumludur. Çalışma alanının Batı kanadında M≥6 bir depremin oluşma riski %90–95 ve dönüş periyodu da 15– 30 yıl olarak elde edilmiştir.
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  • 2
67-78
  • Turkish

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