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Evaluating the Economic Impact of Fiscal Provisions in the Draft Petroleum Industry Bill on Offshore Marginal Oil Field Development

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Abstract (2. Language): 
Petroleum Fiscal System (PFS) is a key determinant of investment decision in the exploration and production (E&P) of oil and gas. It describes the relationship between: the host governments, the investors, and community with respect to how costs are recovered and profits are shared equitably. The Fiscal Provisions of the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) gives government a greater access to gross revenue and this consequently has an impact on the economics and profitability of oil and gas investments especially for marginal oil field development which is already very capital intensive. This paper reviews the economics of offshore marginal field development within the context of the ensuing petroleum industry institutional restructuring and reforms in Nigeria. It provides a review of the fiscal terms, instruments in the draft petroleum industry bill (PIB), the effects on the economics measure and government take statistics of a marginal oil field development in offshore Nigeria. Offshore PSC model for marginal oil field was developed using Excel spreadsheet and the result was compared to that of Monte-Carlo simulation. The model results of revenue Takes for each stake holders were impressive and calculated as Government Take being $659,424,516.52, Farmor Take at $539,529,149.89 and Farmee Take at $513,837,285.60 respectively as to compare with the result obtained by Monte Carlo simulation. Monte Carlo simulation process was incorporated to account for risk and uncertainties.
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REFERENCES

References: 

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International Journal of Science and Engineering Investigations, Volume 4, Issue 45, October 2015 45
www.IJSEI.com Paper ISSN: 2251-8843 ID: 44515-08
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