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GERİYE YAYILMA ALGORİTMASI KULLANILARAK FİRMA PERFORMANSININ TAHMİN EDİLMESİ

THE USE OF BACK-PROPAGATION ALGORITHM IN THE ESTIMATION OF FIRM PERFORMANCE

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Abstract (2. Language): 
Recently, many researches have been made to find the impact of human resources on firm performance. Many of these studies are conducted on the basis ofstatistical approaches and find the correlation between the human resource management (HRM) measures and firm performance. In this paper, the main aim is to estimate the firm performance through the use of nonlinear model. One method which is used for this nonlinear approach is Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). Artificial Neural Networks are computing systems made up of a number of simple highly interconnected signal or information processing units that are called as artificial neurons. In this work, we used one of the ANN approaches which is called as back-propagation algorithm. In order to collect data, a questionnaire is structured that contains questions related with human resource management and firm performance measures. The data are collected mainly from the manufacturing companies operating in Turkey. Using the data collected, the model is checked whether it is capable of forming therelationship between the HRM input variables and firm performance output variables or not. The experimental results show that through the use of this algorithm, the relationship between the input and output variables can be constructed and moreover, the model can be used as an estimator of firm performance for the companies that are not used in the training of the model.
Abstract (Original Language): 
Son zamanlarda, insan kaynaklarının firma performansı üzerindeki etkisini incelemek için birçok araştırma yapılmıştır. İstatistiksel yöntemler temel alınarak yapılan bu çalışmalar sonucunda, insan kaynakları yönetimi göstergeleri ile firma performansı arasında ilişki olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Bu çalışmanın esas amacı, doğrusal olmayan ve geriye yayılma algoritması olarak da bilinen model kullanılarak firma performansını tahmin etmektir. Bu amaçla kullanılan, doğrusal olmayan yöntemlerden bir tanesi de yapay sinir ağlarıdır. Yapay sinir ağları, yapay nöron olarak adlandırılan birimlerin birbirine bağlanarak sinyal ve bilgi işleme amacıyla kullanılan hesaplama sistemleridir. Bu çalışmada, geriye yayılma algoritması olarak adlandırılanyapay sinir ağları yaklaşımlarından birisi kullanılmıştır. Veri toplama amacıyla, insan kaynakları yönetimiperformans göstergeleri ve firma performans göstergeleri ile ilgili sorulardan oluşan bir anket tasarlanmıştır. Veriler Türkiye’de üretim sektöründe faaliyet gösteren firmalardan toplanmıştır. Toplanan veriler kullanılarak insan kaynakları yönetimi performans göstergeleri ile firmaperformansı göstergeleri arasında bu model yardımı ile bir ilişki kurulup kurulamayacağı test edilmiştir. Deneysel sonuçlar, bu algoritma kullanılarak girdi ve çıktı değişkenleri arasında ilişki kurulabileceğini göstermiştir. Buna ek olarak, modelin eğitilmesinde kullanılmayan firmalar için de bu algoritmanın firma performasının tahmini için kullanılabileceği sonucu elde edilmiştir
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