You are here

TÜRKİYE’DE NİŞ PARTİ BAŞARISI: SİYASİ KONULARIN TÜRÜ ÖNEMLİ Mİ?

NICHE PARTY SUCCESS IN TURKEY: DO POLICY DIMENSIONS MATTER?

Journal Name:

Publication Year:

DOI: 
10.5505/pausbed.2016.22043
Author Name
Abstract (2. Language): 
This paper examines niche party success in Turkey by clustering issue emphases by political parties. Lack of a comprehensive analysis on niche parties in developing world, lack of a consensus on the measurement of niche parties, and even lack of a shared definition on the issue makes the related literature vaporous. In this article, I argue that the ideological position (center vs radical) of a party is much more important than policy emphases for electoral success. Drawing on data collected by the Comparative Manifesto Project, and election outcomes in Turkey from 1961 to 2011, our study revealed that even though political parties’ emphases on democracy, economy, political culture, society and justice, extreme issues such as nationalism influence niche party success to a certain degree, it is the center-party position that effects electoral outcomes primarily.
Abstract (Original Language): 
Bu çalışmada, siyasi partilerin politik konulara vurguları kümelenerek, Türkiye’deki niş (hucre) partilerin başarısı incelenmektedir. Gelişmekte olan ülkelerdeki niş partilerin başarısı ile ilgili kapsamlı çalışmaların yetersizliği, niş partilerin ölçümü ile ilgili bir uzlaşının olmaması, ve hatta niş partilerin tanımı konusunda bile ortak bir tutumun olmaması, bu alandaki literatürü muğlak ve yetersiz kılmaktadır. Bu çalışmada, partilerin idelojik duruşlarının, politika vurgularından çok daha önemli olduğu tartışılmaktadır. Karşılaştırmalı Manifesto Projesi’nin (CMP) verilerinden ve Türkiye’deki 1961 ve 2011 yılları arasındaki ulusal seçim sonuçlarından faydalanılarak, bu çalışmada, siyasi partilerin, manifestolarındaki demokrasi, ekonomi, siyasi kültür, toplum ve adalet, ve ekstrem meselelere (milliyetçilik gibi) yaptıkları vurguların seçim sonuçlarına etkisinin olduğu, ancak seçim başarısını asıl belirleyen faktörün, partilerin merkez-radikal parti konumunda bulunmalarının olduğu ortaya konulmuştur.
139
157

REFERENCES

References: 

Adams, James, and Samuel Merrill, 1999, “Party Policy Equilibrium for Alternative Spatial Voting Models: An Application to the Norwegian Storting”, European Journal of Political Research, 36(6): 235–55.
Adams, James, and Samuel Merrill, 2000, “Spatial Models of Candidate Competition and the 1988 French Presidential Election: Are Presidential Candidates Vote-Maximizers?” Journal of Politics, 62(3): 729–56.
Adams, James, Michael Clark, Lawrence Ezrow, and Garrett Glasgow, 2004, “Understanding Change and Stability in Party Ideologies: Do Parties Respond to Public Opinion or to Past Election Results?” British Journal of Political Science, 34(4):5 89–610.
Adams, James, and Samuel Merrill, 2005, “Parties’ Policy Platforms and Elections Outcomes: The Three Faces of Policy Representation”, European Journal of Political Research, 44(6): 899–918.
Adams, J., Clark, M., Ezrow, L. and Glasgow, G., 2006, “Are Niche Parties Fundamentally Different from Mainstream Parties? The Causes and Electoral Consequences of Western European Parties’ Policy Shifts, 1976–98”, American Journal of Political Science, 50, 513–529.
Aiken, L. S., and S. G. West, 1991, Multiple Regression: Testing and Interpreting Interactions. Newbury Park: Sage Publications.
Alvarez, R. Michael, Jonathan Nagler, and Shaun Bowler, 2000, “Issues, Economics, and Dynamics of Multiparty Elections: The 1987 British General Election”, American Political Science Review, 94(1): 131–49.
154
Niche Party Success In Turkey: Do Policy Dimensions Matter?
Ayata Sencer and Ayşe-Güneş Ayata, 2007, “The Center-Left Parties in Turkey”, Turkish Studies, 8 (2): 211-232
Aydogan Abdullah and Slapin Jonathan, 2012, “Left-Right Reversed: Parties and Ideology in Modern Turkey, available at: SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2165409 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2165409
Balli, H. O., and Sørensen, B. E, 2012, "Interaction Effects in Econometrics", Empirical Economics, 43 (x): 1–21
Brambor Thomas, William Roberts Clark, and Matt Golder, 2006, “Understanding Interaction Models: Improving Empirical Analyses”, Political Analysis, 14: 63-82.
Budge I., and Farlie DJ, 1983, Explaining and Predicting Elections. Issue Effects and Party Strategies in Twenty-three Democracies, London: Allen & Unwin.
Budge, Ian, 1994, “A New Theory of Party Competition: Uncertainty, Ideology, and Policy Equilibria Viewed Comparatively and Temporally”, British Journal of Political Science 24(4): 443–67.
Cox, D. R, 1984, ‘‘Interaction”, International Statistical Review, 52: 1–31
Dow, Jay K, 2001, “A Comparative Spatial Analysis of Majoritarian and Proportional Elections”, Electoral Studies, 20(1): 109–25.
Downs, Anthony, 1957, An Economic Theory of Democracy, New York: Harper.
Duverger, Maurice, 1963, Political Parties: Their Organization and Activity in the Modern State. London: Metheun.
Enelow, James, and Melvin Hinich, 1984, The Spatial Theory of Voting. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Enelow, James, and Melvin Hinich, 1994, “A Test of the Predictive Dimensions Model in Spatial Voting Theory”, Public Choice, 78(2): 155–69.
Erikson, Robert, and David Romero, 1990, “Candidate Equilibrium and the Behavioral Model of the Vote”, American Political Science Review, 84(4): 1103–26.
Ezrow L., 2008, “Research Note: On the Inverse Relationship between Votes and Proximity for Niche Parties”, European Journal of Political Research, 47: 206–220.
Ezrow L., 2010, Linking Citizens and Parties: How Electoral Systems Matter for Political Representation, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
155
H. Bilecen
Gill, Jeff, 2001, “Interpreting Interactions and Interaction Hierarchies in Generalized Linear Models: Issues and Applications”, Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco.
Harmel, Robert, and John Robertson, 1985, "Formation and Success of New Parties: A Cross-National Analysis”, International Political Science Review, 6 (October): 501-23.
Jensen, C. B. and Spoon, J.J., 2010, “Thinking Locally, Acting Supranationally: Niche Party Behaviour in the European Parliament”, European Journal of Political Research, 49, 174–201.
Klemmensen Robert, Sara B. Hobolt, and Martin E. Hansen, 2007, “Estimating Policy Positions Using Political Texts: An Evaluation of the Wordscores Approach”, Electoral Studies 26 (4): 746-755
Küçükömer İdris, 2002, Düzenin Yabancılaşması: Batılılaşma, Istanbul: Bağlam
Lin, TseMin, Yunhan Chu, and Melvin Hinich, 1996, “Conflict Displacement and Regime Transition in Taiwan: A Spatial Analysis”,World Politics, 48(4): 453–81.
Lynch, P. Whitaker, R. and Loomes, G. (2011) The UK Independence Party: understanding a niche party’s strategy, candidates and supporters. Parliamentary Affairs, advance online publication 9 November, doi:10.1093/pa/gsr042
Meguid, Bonnie. 2005. “Competition between Unequals: The Role ofMainstream Party Strategy and Niche Party Success.” American Political Science Review 99(3): 347–60.
Miller-Rommel, Ferdinand, 1996, “The New Challengers: Explaining the Electoral Success of Green and Right-Wing Populist Parties in Western Europe”, in Les Petits Partis, eds. Annie Laurent and Bruno Villalba. Paris: L'Harmattan, 119-41.
Schofield, Norman, and Itai Sened. 2005. “Modeling the Interaction of Parties, Activists, and Voters: Why Is the Political Center So Empty?” European Journal of Political Research 44(3): 355–90.
Schofield, Norman, and Itai Sened, 2006, Multiparty Democracy: Parties, Elections, and Legislative Politics, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Shepsle, Kenneth A., 1991, Models of Multiparty Electoral Competition, New York: Harwood Academic Publishing.
156
Niche Party Success In Turkey: Do Policy Dimensions Matter?
Thomas M Meyer and Berhard Miller, 2013, "The niche party concept and its measurement", Party Politics, 21 (March), 259-271.
Quinn, Kevin, and Andrew Martin, 2002, “An Integrated Computational Model of Multiparty Electoral Competition”, Statistical Science, 17(4): 405–19.
Wagner M., 2011, “Defining and Measuring Niche Parties”, Party Politics, 18, 845-864
William Berry, Matt Golder, and Daniel Milton, 2012, “Improving Tests of Theories Positing Interaction”, Journal of Politics, 74: 653-671.
Volkens, Andrea, Lehmann, Pola, Matthieß, Theres, Merz, Nicolas, Regel, Sven, Werner, Annika, 2015, The Manifesto Project Dataset - Codebook. Manifesto Project (MRG / CMP / MARPOR), Version 2015a. Berlin: Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung (WZB).

Thank you for copying data from http://www.arastirmax.com