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TÜRKİYE'DE KAMU GELİRLERİ VE KAMU HARCAMALARI ARASINDAKİ NEDENSEL İLİŞKİLER

Journal Name:

  • Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi

Publication Year:

  • 2000
Author NameUniversity of AuthorFaculty of Author
Abstract (2. Language): 
Casual relationships between public expenditures and public revenues in Turkey Recently, budget deficit in Turkey has reached alarmingly high levels. Today, perhaps all contemporary economies have been plagued with huge budget deficits. For resolving this problem some economists have advocated spending cuts and others support either tax increases or tax cuts. This paper examines the casual relationship between tax revenues and expenditures in Turkey. We utilize the Engle-Granger and Johansen cointegration approach and error-correction models to test this several hypotheses concerning the causal relationship between revenues and expenditures. In Turkey we find evidence of unidirectional causality between revenues and expenditures supporting the spend-tax hypothesis. Under this scenario the fiscal authorities of Turkey should try to cut spending in order to control their respective budget deficits.
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Abstract (Original Language): 
Son yıllarda Türkiye'de bütçe açıkları çok büyük boyutlara ulaşmıştır. Günümüzde belki de bütün çağdaş ekonomiler büyük bütçe açıklarından sıkıntı çekmektedir. Bu problemi çözmek için bazı ekonomistler harcamaların azaltılmasını diğer bazıları ise, vergi artışları veya azalışlarını savunmuşlardır. Bu çalışmada, Engle-Granger ve Johansen ko-entegrasyon yaklaşımı ve Hata Düzeltme Modelleri kullanılarak kamu gelirleri ve kamu harcamaları arasındaki nedensel ilişkilerle ilgili ortaya atılan hipotezler test edilmiştir. Yapılan testler sonucu Türkiye'de kamu harcamaları-kamu gelirleri(harcama-vergi) hipotezini destekleyen kamu harcamaları ve kamu gelirleri arasında tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi bulunmuştur. Bu sonuca göre, Türkiye'deki mali otoriteler bütçe açıklarını kontrol etmek için kamu harcamalarım kısmaya gayret etmesi gerekmektedir.
FULL TEXT (PDF): 
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  • 1
55-74
  • Turkish

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